مدرسة الاحتمالات

Almería v Las Palmas

البداية: 2026-05-16 16:34 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Almería 1–2 Las Palmas

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Almería (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.89%1.93السعر العادل
EV -3.99%
الأفضلية -2.16%
Kelly -4.70%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.21%51.82%51.95%52.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.781.781.8559.88%56.06%56.18%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Las Palmas (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.44%4.27السعر العادل
EV +4.55%
الأفضلية +1.02%
Kelly +1.31%
النمو +0.060%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.32%23.52%23.38%25.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.553.883.884.4628.17%25.76%25.81%22.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.66%4.05السعر العادل
EV -1.34%
الأفضلية -0.336%
Kelly -0.448%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.68%24.65%24.68%26.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.673.674.0029.41%27.22%27.21%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.32%EV +4.55%E +1.02%K +1.31%G +0.060%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 16:29
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.72%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.86%EV -1.08%E -0.256%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.42%EV -2.58%E -0.652%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 16:29
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.55%E -0.369%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:28
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -8.67%E -4.92%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -2.72%E -0.655%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:29
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:30
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 16:30
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -5.06%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 16:28
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.34%E -0.336%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:30
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:30
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:30
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:29
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:29
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 16:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 16:30
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.41%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 16:29
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.41%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 16:29
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:30
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:30
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 16:30
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -13.34%E -7.99%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -16.14%E -4.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 16:30
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.34%E -0.336%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 16:29
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.34%EV -10.22%E -2.67%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.97%EV -11.70%E -3.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 16:29
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 16:30
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 16:30
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 16:30
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 16:30
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 16:28
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.81%E -0.977%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:29
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 16:30
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.37%EV -6.07%E -3.35%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 16:30
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 16:30
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 16:30
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 16:30
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 16:29
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 16:30
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 51.37%EV -12.30%E -7.28%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.46%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.16%EV -14.91%E -4.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-16 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 16:30
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.66%EV -9.70%E -5.58%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 16:30
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.61%E -4.34%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 16:29
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -8.67%E -4.92%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.89%EV -16.78%E -4.73%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.89%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-16 16:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-05-16 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-05-16 16:30
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.6%2026-05-16 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-05-16 16:30
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.60%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%1.7%2026-05-16 16:30
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-05-16 16:30