La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Almería v Las Palmas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Almería (Local)
Predicción 51.89%1.93momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -4.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.21%51.82%51.95%52.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.781.781.8559.88%56.06%56.18%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Las Palmas (Visitante)
Predicción 23.44%4.27momio equitativo
EV +4.55%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.060%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.32%23.52%23.38%25.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.883.884.4628.17%25.76%25.81%22.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.66%4.05momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.336%
Kelly -0.448%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.68%24.65%24.68%26.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.673.674.0029.41%27.22%27.21%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.32%EV +4.55%E +1.02%K +1.31%G +0.060% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.72%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.86%EV -1.08%E -0.256%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.42%EV -2.58%E -0.652%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.55%E -0.369%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -8.67%E -4.92%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -2.72%E -0.655%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -5.06%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.34%E -0.336%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.41%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.41%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -13.34%E -7.99%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -16.14%E -4.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.34%E -0.336%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.34%EV -10.22%E -2.67%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.97%EV -11.70%E -3.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.81%E -0.977%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.37%EV -6.07%E -3.35%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.37%EV -12.30%E -7.28%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.46%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.16%EV -14.91%E -4.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.66%EV -9.70%E -5.58%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.61%E -4.34%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -8.67%E -4.92%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.89%EV -16.78%E -4.73%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.89%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.60% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |