L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Almería v Las Palmas
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Almería (Local)
Prévision 51.89%1.93cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -4.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.21%51.82%51.95%52.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.781.781.8559.88%56.06%56.18%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Las Palmas (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.44%4.27cote équitable
EV +4.55%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.060%
avec la cote maximale 4.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.32%23.52%23.38%25.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.883.884.4628.17%25.76%25.81%22.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.66%4.05cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.336%
Kelly -0.448%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.68%24.65%24.68%26.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.673.674.0029.41%27.22%27.21%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.32%EV +4.55%E +1.02%K +1.31%G +0.060% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.72%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.86%EV -1.08%E -0.256%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.42%EV -2.58%E -0.652%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.55%E -0.369%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -8.67%E -4.92%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -2.72%E -0.655%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -5.06%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.34%E -0.336%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.41%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.41%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -13.34%E -7.99%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -16.14%E -4.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.34%E -0.336%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.34%EV -10.22%E -2.67%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.97%EV -11.70%E -3.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.81%E -0.977%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.37%EV -6.07%E -3.35%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.37%EV -12.30%E -7.28%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.46%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.16%EV -14.91%E -4.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.66%EV -9.70%E -5.58%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.61%E -4.34%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -8.67%E -4.92%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.89%EV -16.78%E -4.73%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.89%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.60% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |