Language:English
Albacete v Real Sociedad B
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Albacete (Local)
Prediction 52.53%1.90fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.51%52.57%52.48%54.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.761.751.8561.35%56.79%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Sociedad B (Visit)
Prediction 22.00%4.55fair odd
EV +3.38%
Edge +0.719%
Kelly +0.913%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.53%21.89%22.02%23.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.124.104.7026.67%24.25%24.39%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.47%3.93fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -0.861%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.65%25.53%25.50%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.533.523.8330.77%28.29%28.37%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albacete (Local): 52.53%; Real Sociedad B (Visit): 22.00%; Draw: 25.47%. For Real Sociedad B (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.55. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +3.38%E +0.719%K +0.913%G +0.031% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.96%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.82%EV +2.06%E +0.444%K +0.565%G +0.012% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -2.44%E -0.636%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.19%EV -0.361%E -0.080%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.19%EV -2.95%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 14:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -7.02%E -3.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.22%E -0.732%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 14:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.60%E -4.94%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.22%E -0.732%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -8.60%E -4.94%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.32%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.77%EV -8.80%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 14:47 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -9.65%E -5.61%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -4.32%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -9.65%E -5.61%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -4.32%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -9.65%E -5.61%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -4.32%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -4.76%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 12:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -3.20%E -0.842%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 09:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -3.87%E -2.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.47%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -2.82%E -1.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 04:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -2.82%E -1.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 04:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -4.39%E -2.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 11:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.36%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 08:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.36%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 08:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.12%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 08:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.12%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 08:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 09:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -10.70%E -6.29%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.82%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 06:22 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -7.02%E -3.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -9.82%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 05:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.11%EV -11.75%E -6.99%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -9.82%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -9.57%E -2.70%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.28%EV -14.37%E -8.82%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.18%EV -9.82%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-22 14:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.02%E -3.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -4.47%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 06:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 06:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -6.49%E -3.65%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 06:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.58%EV -4.92%E -2.72%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 04:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.58%EV -4.92%E -2.72%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 04:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.02%E -3.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 06:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.12%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-22 05:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.12%E -3.32%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 04:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.12%E -3.32%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 04:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.12%E -3.32%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 04:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.12%E -3.32%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 04:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 05:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 05:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 05:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 05:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.59%EV -7.55%E -4.29%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -14.66%E -4.38%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 04:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.58%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.99%EV -15.32%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -14.66%E -4.38%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 04:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.58%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.99%EV -15.32%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -14.66%E -4.38%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 04:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.42%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.42%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 06:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.60%EV -10.70%E -6.29%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.94%EV -17.52%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -17.21%E -5.30%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-22 04:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.36% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.82% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |