Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Albacete v Real Sociedad B

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 17:00 UTC

Score final : Albacete 1–2 Real Sociedad B

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Albacete (Local)

Prévision 52.53%1.90cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -3.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.51%52.57%52.48%54.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.761.751.8561.35%56.79%57.14%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Real Sociedad B (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.00%4.55cote équitable
EV +3.38%
Avantage +0.719%
Kelly +0.913%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.53%21.89%22.02%23.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.124.104.7026.67%24.25%24.39%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.47%3.93cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.636%
Kelly -0.861%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.65%25.53%25.50%26.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.533.523.8330.77%28.29%28.37%26.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Albacete (Local) : 52.53% ; Real Sociedad B (Visiteur) : 22.00% ; Match nul : 25.47%. Pour Real Sociedad B (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.55. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.70, soit une espérance positive de +3.38%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +3.38%E +0.719%K +0.913%G +0.031%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.96%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.82%EV +2.06%E +0.444%K +0.565%G +0.012%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -2.44%E -0.636%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 14:55
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.19%EV -0.361%E -0.080%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.19%EV -2.95%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -7.02%E -3.97%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.22%E -0.732%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.60%E -4.94%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.22%E -0.732%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -8.60%E -4.94%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.32%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.77%EV -8.80%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 14:47
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -9.65%E -5.61%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -4.32%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -9.65%E -5.61%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -4.32%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -9.65%E -5.61%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -4.32%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -4.76%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 12:49
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -3.20%E -0.842%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 11:15
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 09:04
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 09:09
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -3.87%E -2.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.47%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -2.82%E -1.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 04:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -2.82%E -1.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 04:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -4.39%E -2.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.36%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 08:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.36%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 08:49
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.12%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 08:50
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.12%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 08:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 09:09
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -10.70%E -6.29%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.82%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 06:22
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -7.02%E -3.97%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -9.82%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.11%EV -11.75%E -6.99%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -9.82%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -9.57%E -2.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.28%EV -14.37%E -8.82%K -22.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.18%EV -9.82%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-22 14:58
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.02%E -3.97%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -4.47%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 15:15
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 06:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 06:25
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -6.49%E -3.65%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 06:25
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.58%EV -4.92%E -2.72%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 04:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.58%EV -4.92%E -2.72%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 04:30
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.02%E -3.97%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 06:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.12%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 05:34
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.12%E -3.32%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 04:29
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.12%E -3.32%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 04:30
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.12%E -3.32%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 04:29
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.12%E -3.32%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 04:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 05:29
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 05:30
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 05:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 05:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.59%EV -7.55%E -4.29%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -14.66%E -4.38%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 04:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.58%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.99%EV -15.32%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -14.66%E -4.38%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 04:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.58%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.99%EV -15.32%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -14.66%E -4.38%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 04:30
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.42%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 14:04
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.42%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 06:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.60%EV -10.70%E -6.29%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.94%EV -17.52%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -17.21%E -5.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-22 04:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-08-22 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-08-22 15:10
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.36%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%1.6%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.82%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%2.1%2026-08-22 15:20