Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Albacete v Real Sociedad B

Início: 2026-08-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Albacete 1–2 Real Sociedad B

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Albacete (Local)

Previsão 52.53%1.90odd justa
EV -2.82%
Vantagem -1.52%
Kelly -3.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.51%52.57%52.48%54.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.631.761.751.8561.35%56.79%57.14%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Real Sociedad B (Visitante)

Previsão 22.00%4.55odd justa
EV +3.38%
Vantagem +0.719%
Kelly +0.913%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.53%21.89%22.02%23.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.124.104.7026.67%24.25%24.39%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.47%3.93odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -0.636%
Kelly -0.861%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.65%25.53%25.50%26.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.533.523.8330.77%28.29%28.37%26.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Albacete (Local): 52.53%; Real Sociedad B (Visitante): 22.00%; Empate: 25.47%. Para Real Sociedad B (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.55. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.38%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +3.38%E +0.719%K +0.913%G +0.031%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.96%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.82%EV +2.06%E +0.444%K +0.565%G +0.012%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -2.44%E -0.636%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 14:55
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.19%EV -0.361%E -0.080%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.19%EV -2.95%E -0.773%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -7.02%E -3.97%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.22%E -0.732%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.60%E -4.94%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.22%E -0.732%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -8.60%E -4.94%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.32%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.77%EV -8.80%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 14:47
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -9.65%E -5.61%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -4.32%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -9.65%E -5.61%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -4.32%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -9.65%E -5.61%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -4.32%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -4.76%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 12:49
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -3.20%E -0.842%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 11:15
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 09:04
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 09:09
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -3.87%E -2.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.47%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -2.82%E -1.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 04:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -2.82%E -1.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 04:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -4.39%E -2.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.36%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 08:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.36%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 08:49
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.12%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 08:50
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.12%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 08:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 09:09
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -10.70%E -6.29%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.62%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.82%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 06:22
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -7.02%E -3.97%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -9.82%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.11%EV -11.75%E -6.99%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -9.82%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -9.57%E -2.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.28%EV -14.37%E -8.82%K -22.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.18%EV -9.82%E -2.39%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-22 14:58
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.02%E -3.97%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -4.47%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 15:15
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 06:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 06:25
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -6.49%E -3.65%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 06:25
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.58%EV -4.92%E -2.72%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 04:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.58%EV -4.92%E -2.72%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 04:30
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.02%E -3.97%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 06:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.30%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.12%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.02%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 05:34
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.12%E -3.32%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 04:29
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.12%E -3.32%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 04:30
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.12%E -3.32%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 04:29
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.12%E -3.32%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 04:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 05:29
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 05:30
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 05:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 05:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.59%EV -7.55%E -4.29%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -14.66%E -4.38%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 04:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.58%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.99%EV -15.32%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -14.66%E -4.38%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 04:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.58%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.99%EV -15.32%E -3.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -14.66%E -4.38%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 04:30
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.42%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 14:04
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.07%E -4.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.42%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.84%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 06:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.60%EV -10.70%E -6.29%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.94%EV -17.52%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -17.21%E -5.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-22 04:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-08-22 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-08-22 15:10
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.36%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%1.6%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.82%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%2.1%2026-08-22 15:20