Language:English
Albacete v Burgos CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Albacete (Local)
Prediction 38.14%2.62fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.921%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.54%38.14%38.21%40.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.372.382.5645.87%42.18%42.02%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burgos CF (Visit)
Prediction 30.30%3.30fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.472%
Kelly -0.682%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.67%30.27%30.28%31.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.073.053.2537.04%32.56%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.56%3.17fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.24%31.59%31.51%32.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.912.903.1038.46%34.36%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albacete (Local): 38.14%; Burgos CF (Visit): 30.30%; Draw: 31.56%. For Burgos CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -1.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -2.36%E -0.921%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -2.44%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -5.00%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -2.36%E -0.921%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -2.36%E -0.921%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.39%EV -3.12%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.87%EV -9.71%E -3.26%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.74%EV -2.48%E -0.801%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -2.16%E -0.697%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.26%EV -6.94%E -2.84%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.31%EV -6.68%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.43%EV -6.26%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.70%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -5.95%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.70%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -5.95%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.12%EV -7.70%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.60%EV -10.68%E -3.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 13:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -10.37%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.21%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.42%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 11:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.83%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -13.65%E -4.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.54%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.13%EV -18.20%E -6.74%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.33%EV -17.94%E -6.90%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -14.18%E -6.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -14.18%E -6.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -13.65%E -4.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -14.95%E -6.70%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -14.95%E -6.70%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.33%EV -16.85%E -7.73%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.49% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.77% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |