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Albacete v Burgos CF
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Albacete (Хозяева)
Прогноз 38.14%2.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.36%
Преимущество -0.921%
Kelly -1.51%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.56
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.54%38.14%38.21%40.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.182.372.382.5645.87%42.18%42.02%39.06%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Burgos CF (Гости)
Прогноз 30.30%3.30справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.53%
Преимущество -0.472%
Kelly -0.682%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.67%30.27%30.28%31.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.703.073.053.2537.04%32.56%32.79%30.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 31.56%3.17справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.16%
Преимущество -0.697%
Kelly -1.03%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.24%31.59%31.51%32.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.912.903.1038.46%34.36%34.48%32.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Albacete (Хозяева): 38.14%; Burgos CF (Гости): 30.30%; Ничья: 31.56%. Для исхода «Burgos CF (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.30. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.25, математическое ожидание — -1.53%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -2.36%E -0.921%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -2.44%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -5.00%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -2.36%E -0.921%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -2.36%E -0.921%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.39%EV -3.12%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.87%EV -9.71%E -3.26%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.74%EV -2.48%E -0.801%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -2.16%E -0.697%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.26%EV -6.94%E -2.84%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.31%EV -6.68%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.43%EV -6.26%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.70%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -5.95%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.70%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -5.95%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.12%EV -7.70%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.60%EV -10.68%E -3.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 13:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -10.37%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.21%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.42%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 11:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.83%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -13.65%E -4.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.54%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.13%EV -18.20%E -6.74%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.33%EV -17.94%E -6.90%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -14.18%E -6.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -14.18%E -6.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -13.65%E -4.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -14.95%E -6.70%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -14.95%E -6.70%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.33%EV -16.85%E -7.73%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.49% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.77% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |