La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Albacete v Burgos CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Albacete (Local)
Predicción 38.14%2.62momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.921%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.54%38.14%38.21%40.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.372.382.5645.87%42.18%42.02%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Burgos CF (Visitante)
Predicción 30.30%3.30momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.472%
Kelly -0.682%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.67%30.27%30.28%31.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.073.053.2537.04%32.56%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.56%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -0.697%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.24%31.59%31.51%32.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.912.903.1038.46%34.36%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -2.36%E -0.921%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -2.44%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -5.00%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -2.36%E -0.921%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -2.36%E -0.921%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.39%EV -3.12%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.87%EV -9.71%E -3.26%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.74%EV -2.48%E -0.801%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -2.16%E -0.697%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.26%EV -6.94%E -2.84%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.31%EV -6.68%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.43%EV -6.26%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.70%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -5.95%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.70%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -5.95%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| BetAnything | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.12%EV -7.70%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.60%EV -10.68%E -3.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 13:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 16:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -10.37%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.21%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.42%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 11:45 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 11:45 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.83%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -13.65%E -4.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-04 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.54%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.13%EV -18.20%E -6.74%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.33%EV -17.94%E -6.90%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -14.18%E -6.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -14.18%E -6.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -13.65%E -4.79%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -14.95%E -6.70%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -14.95%E -6.70%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.33%EV -16.85%E -7.73%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.49% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.77% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |