مدرسة الاحتمالات

Albacete v Burgos CF

البداية: 2026-04-04 14:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Albacete (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.14%2.62السعر العادل
EV -2.36%
الأفضلية -0.921%
Kelly -1.51%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.54%38.14%38.21%40.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.182.372.382.5645.87%42.18%42.02%39.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Burgos CF (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.30%3.30السعر العادل
EV -1.53%
الأفضلية -0.472%
Kelly -0.682%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.67%30.27%30.28%31.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.073.053.2537.04%32.56%32.79%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.56%3.17السعر العادل
EV -2.16%
الأفضلية -0.697%
Kelly -1.03%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.24%31.59%31.51%32.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.912.903.1038.46%34.36%34.48%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -2.36%E -0.921%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -2.44%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -5.00%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 13:54
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -2.36%E -0.921%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 13:54
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -2.36%E -0.921%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -7.21%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 13:54
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.39%EV -3.12%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.87%EV -9.71%E -3.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.74%EV -2.48%E -0.801%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 14:09
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -2.16%E -0.697%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 14:09
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:09
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 13:54
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 12:29
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 14:09
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 14:00
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:00
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -6.55%E -2.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:54
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.26%EV -6.94%E -2.84%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.31%EV -6.68%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.43%EV -6.26%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 13:54
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.70%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -5.95%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:54
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.70%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -5.95%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:54
BetAnything2.42I 41.32%NM 38.12%EV -7.70%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.60%EV -10.68%E -3.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 13:01
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 16:40
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 14:09
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 13:30
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 13:45
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 14:00
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 13:54
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 12:30
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.10%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 11:44
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 13:00
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 13:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -10.37%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 13:54
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:20
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:20
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.53%E -0.472%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.21%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.42%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 13:50
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 11:45
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 11:45
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 11:44
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.83%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -13.65%E -4.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-04 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.54%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.13%EV -18.20%E -6.74%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.33%EV -17.94%E -6.90%K -11.21%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-04 14:00
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:20
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:20
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:20
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.05%E -0.953%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:19
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -14.18%E -6.30%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.89%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 13:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -14.18%E -6.30%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -13.65%E -4.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 13:54
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -14.95%E -6.70%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 13:20
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -14.95%E -6.70%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 13:20
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.33%EV -16.85%E -7.73%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-04 13:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%0.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%0.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%0.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%0.5%2026-04-04 14:00
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.49%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.77%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-04-04 13:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%3.0%2026-04-04 13:45