A Escola das OddsIdioma:Português
AD Ceuta FC v Málaga
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
AD Ceuta FC (Local)
Previsão 23.10%4.33odd justa
EV +0.251%
Vantagem +0.058%
Kelly +0.075%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.34
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.98%23.11%23.09%24.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.004.004.3428.57%24.99%25.00%23.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Málaga (Visitante)
Previsão 53.72%1.86odd justa
EV -3.30%
Vantagem -1.83%
Kelly -4.12%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.18%53.74%53.66%55.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.721.721.8061.73%58.20%58.14%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 23.18%4.31odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.353%
Kelly -0.461%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.33%23.15%23.24%25.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.883.854.2530.30%25.78%25.97%23.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +0.251%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.10%EV -5.98%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%EV -1.50%E -0.353%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Fanatics | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -0.673%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Unibet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.45%EV -2.29%E -0.541%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.99%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.14%E -0.997%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.13%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Bovada | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.98%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 14:12 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| BetAnything | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| DraftKings | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.59%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.39%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -9.74%E -5.80%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -9.74%E -5.80%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betsson | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.59%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| NordicBet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.59%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.66%E -0.633%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -4.37%E -2.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.30%EV -11.36%E -6.88%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -16.56%E -4.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.95%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.79%EV -10.82%E -6.52%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -11.23%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -10.28%E -6.16%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.28%E -6.16%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Sky Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.04%EV -10.82%E -6.52%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.14%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.36%EV -10.82%E -6.52%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.69%EV -19.15%E -5.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.18%EV -12.97%E -8.00%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.13%EV -23.52%E -7.13%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.30% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.30% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.30% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Kalshi | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.75% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.59% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |