Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
AD Ceuta FC v Málaga
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
AD Ceuta FC (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 23.10%4.33kurs godziwy
EV +0.251%
Przewaga +0.058%
Kelly +0.075%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.34
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.98%23.11%23.09%24.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.504.004.004.3428.57%24.99%25.00%23.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Málaga (Goście)
Prognoza 53.72%1.86kurs godziwy
EV -3.30%
Przewaga -1.83%
Kelly -4.12%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.18%53.74%53.66%55.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.721.721.8061.73%58.20%58.14%55.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 23.18%4.31kurs godziwy
EV -1.50%
Przewaga -0.353%
Kelly -0.461%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.33%23.15%23.24%25.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.883.854.2530.30%25.78%25.97%23.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +0.251%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.10%EV -5.98%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%EV -1.50%E -0.353%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Fanatics | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -0.673%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Unibet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.45%EV -2.29%E -0.541%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.99%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.14%E -0.997%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.13%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Bovada | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.98%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 14:12 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| BetAnything | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| DraftKings | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.59%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.39%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -9.74%E -5.80%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -9.74%E -5.80%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betsson | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.59%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| NordicBet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.59%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.66%E -0.633%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -4.37%E -2.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.30%EV -11.36%E -6.88%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -16.56%E -4.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.95%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.79%EV -10.82%E -6.52%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -11.23%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -10.28%E -6.16%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.28%E -6.16%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Sky Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.04%EV -10.82%E -6.52%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.14%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.36%EV -10.82%E -6.52%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.69%EV -19.15%E -5.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.18%EV -12.97%E -8.00%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.13%EV -23.52%E -7.13%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.30% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.30% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.30% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Kalshi | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.75% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.59% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |