L’École des cotesLangue:Français
AD Ceuta FC v Málaga
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AD Ceuta FC (Local)
Prévision 23.10%4.33cote équitable
EV +0.251%
Avantage +0.058%
Kelly +0.075%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.98%23.11%23.09%24.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.004.004.3428.57%24.99%25.00%23.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Málaga (Visiteur)
Prévision 53.72%1.86cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -1.83%
Kelly -4.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.18%53.74%53.66%55.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.721.721.8061.73%58.20%58.14%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.18%4.31cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.461%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.33%23.15%23.24%25.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.883.854.2530.30%25.78%25.97%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +0.251%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.10%EV -5.98%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%EV -1.50%E -0.353%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Fanatics | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -0.673%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Unibet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.45%EV -2.29%E -0.541%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.99%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.14%E -0.997%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.13%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Bovada | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.98%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 14:12 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| BetAnything | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| DraftKings | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.59%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.39%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -9.74%E -5.80%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -9.74%E -5.80%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betsson | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.59%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| NordicBet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.59%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.66%E -0.633%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -4.37%E -2.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.30%EV -11.36%E -6.88%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -16.56%E -4.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.95%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.79%EV -10.82%E -6.52%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -11.23%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -10.28%E -6.16%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.28%E -6.16%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Sky Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.04%EV -10.82%E -6.52%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.14%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.36%EV -10.82%E -6.52%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-16 14:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.69%EV -19.15%E -5.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.18%EV -12.97%E -8.00%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.13%EV -23.52%E -7.13%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.30% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.30% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.30% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Kalshi | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.75% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.59% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |