Die Schule der Quoten

AD Ceuta FC v Málaga

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-16 14:17 UTC

Endstand: AD Ceuta FC 1–4 Málaga

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

AD Ceuta FC (Heim)

Prognose 23.10%4.33faire Quote
EV +0.251%
Vorteil +0.058%
Kelly +0.075%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.34

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.98%23.11%23.09%24.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.504.004.004.3428.57%24.99%25.00%23.04%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Málaga (Auswärts)

Prognose 53.72%1.86faire Quote
EV -3.30%
Vorteil -1.83%
Kelly -4.12%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.18%53.74%53.66%55.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.621.721.721.8061.73%58.20%58.14%55.56%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.18%4.31faire Quote
EV -1.50%
Vorteil -0.353%
Kelly -0.461%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.33%23.15%23.24%25.13%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.883.854.2530.30%25.78%25.97%23.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +0.251%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.10%EV -5.98%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%EV -1.50%E -0.353%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 14:14
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -0.673%E -0.156%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 14:15
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 14:15
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 14:15
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 14:15
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 14:15
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -1.83%E -0.430%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.45%E -3.09%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 14:15
1xBet4.23I 23.64%NM 22.45%EV -2.29%E -0.541%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.99%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 14:14
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.14%E -0.997%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.13%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 14:13
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.98%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:12
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 14:15
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 14:15
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 14:13
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 14:15
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 14:15
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 14:15
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 14:15
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.59%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 14:15
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.39%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 14:15
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -9.74%E -5.80%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 14:15
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -5.29%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -9.74%E -5.80%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 14:15
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.59%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:13
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.59%E -4.42%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:14
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 14:13
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.66%E -0.633%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:15
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -4.37%E -2.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:14
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:14
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 14:15
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:13
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 14:14
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.60%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 14:13
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 14:15
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.30%EV -11.36%E -6.88%K -17.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -16.56%E -4.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 14:15
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -4.91%E -2.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 14:13
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.98%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 14:15
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 14:15
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 14:15
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.95%EV -8.13%E -4.76%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 14:14
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 14:15
Betclic (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.91%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.79%EV -10.82%E -6.52%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -11.23%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 14:14
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 14:15
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 14:15
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 14:13
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.22%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -10.28%E -6.16%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 14:15
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.28%E -6.16%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 14:15
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 14:15
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.04%EV -10.82%E -6.52%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 14:15
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.14%EV -16.84%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.36%EV -10.82%E -6.52%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -14.25%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-16 14:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 23.69%EV -19.15%E -5.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 51.18%EV -12.97%E -8.00%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.13%EV -23.52%E -7.13%K -10.22%G +0.000%20.6%2026-05-16 14:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.30%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-05-16 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.30%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-05-16 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.30%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-05-16 14:15
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-05-16 14:15
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%4.1%2026-05-16 14:15
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.75%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.59%6.1%2026-05-16 14:15