StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

AD Ceuta FC v Celta Fortuna

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 16:30 UTC

Slutresultat: AD Ceuta FC 0–2 Celta Fortuna

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

AD Ceuta FC (Hemma)

Prognos 45.65%2.19rättvist odds
EV -5.05%
Fördel -2.43%
Kelly -4.68%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.08

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.20%45.69%45.63%47.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.821.982.002.0854.95%50.44%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Celta Fortuna (Borta)

Prognos 27.20%3.68rättvist odds
EV +0.650%
Fördel +0.176%
Kelly +0.241%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.31%27.17%27.13%28.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.423.403.7031.25%29.26%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.15%3.68rättvist odds
EV -2.27%
Fördel -0.629%
Kelly -0.871%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.21%27.14%27.24%28.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.363.333.6032.26%29.77%30.08%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: AD Ceuta FC (Hemma): 45.65%; Celta Fortuna (Borta): 27.20%; Oavgjort: 27.15%. För Celta Fortuna (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.68. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.70, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.650%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:35
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:35
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.80%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -0.710%E -0.195%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.10%EV -7.97%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 23:55
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.51%E -2.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.37%EV -0.982%E -0.270%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.44%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 11:15
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:35
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:35
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -8.25%E -4.10%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -3.70%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -7.15%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 11:10
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 08:43
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 06:15
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 14:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 13:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 13:15
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 14:35
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.79%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.27%EV -14.18%E -7.54%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.27%EV -14.18%E -7.54%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.27%EV -14.18%E -7.54%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.80%EV -6.97%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.36%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:34
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.871%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 23:50
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.79%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 11:55
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.79%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 04:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 04:50
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 02:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.27%EV -8.25%E -4.10%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 12:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 46.94%EV -16.92%E -9.30%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.50%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.56%EV -15.84%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-04 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 14:30
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 03:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 07:15
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 07:05
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 02:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 16:30
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 14:19
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 14:19
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 02:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.42%EV -13.72%E -7.26%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-03 16:35
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 08:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -9.62%E -4.86%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 14:15
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 14:20
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-03 02:40
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 06:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -10.53%E -5.37%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 11:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16%3.1%2026-09-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%3.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%3.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18%3.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.93%4.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%7.5%2026-09-04 13:40