Langue:Français
AD Ceuta FC v Celta Fortuna
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AD Ceuta FC (Local)
Prévision 45.65%2.19cote équitable
EV -5.05%
Avantage -2.43%
Kelly -4.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.20%45.69%45.63%47.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.821.982.002.0854.95%50.44%50.00%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Celta Fortuna (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.20%3.68cote équitable
EV +0.650%
Avantage +0.176%
Kelly +0.241%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.31%27.17%27.13%28.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.423.403.7031.25%29.26%29.41%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.15%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.629%
Kelly -0.871%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.21%27.14%27.24%28.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.333.6032.26%29.77%30.08%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : AD Ceuta FC (Local) : 45.65% ; Celta Fortuna (Visiteur) : 27.20% ; Match nul : 27.15%. Pour Celta Fortuna (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.68. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.70, soit une espérance positive de +0.650%.
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.80%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -0.710%E -0.195%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.10%EV -7.97%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.51%E -2.66%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.37%EV -0.982%E -0.270%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.44%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -8.25%E -4.10%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -3.70%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -7.15%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 08:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 06:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 14:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.79%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.27%EV -14.18%E -7.54%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.27%EV -14.18%E -7.54%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.27%EV -14.18%E -7.54%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.80%EV -6.97%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.36%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 16:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 07:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.79%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.79%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 02:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.27%EV -8.25%E -4.10%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 12:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.94%EV -16.92%E -9.30%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.50%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.56%EV -15.84%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 14:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 03:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 07:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 02:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-03 02:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.42%EV -13.72%E -7.26%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-03 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 08:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -9.62%E -4.86%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-03 02:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -10.53%E -5.37%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.93% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |