StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

AD Ceuta FC v Celta Fortuna

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-05 16:30 UTC

Endstand: AD Ceuta FC 0–2 Celta Fortuna

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

AD Ceuta FC (Heim)

Prognose 45.65%2.19faire Quote
EV -5.05%
Vorteil -2.43%
Kelly -4.68%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.08

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
45.20%45.69%45.63%47.54%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.821.982.002.0854.95%50.44%50.00%48.08%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Celta Fortuna (Auswärts)

Prognose 27.20%3.68faire Quote
EV +0.650%
Vorteil +0.176%
Kelly +0.241%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.31%27.17%27.13%28.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.423.403.7031.25%29.26%29.41%27.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.15%3.68faire Quote
EV -2.27%
Vorteil -0.629%
Kelly -0.871%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.21%27.14%27.24%28.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.363.333.6032.26%29.77%30.08%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: AD Ceuta FC (Heim): 45.65%; Celta Fortuna (Auswärts): 27.20%; Unentschieden: 27.15%. Für Celta Fortuna (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.68. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.70 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.650%.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:35
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:35
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.80%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -0.710%E -0.195%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.10%EV -7.97%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 23:55
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.51%E -2.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.37%EV -0.982%E -0.270%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.44%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 11:15
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:35
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:35
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -8.25%E -4.10%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -3.70%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -7.15%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 11:10
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 08:43
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 06:15
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 14:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 13:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 13:15
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 14:35
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.79%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.27%EV -14.18%E -7.54%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.27%EV -14.18%E -7.54%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.27%EV -14.18%E -7.54%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.80%EV -6.97%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.36%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:34
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.871%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 23:50
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.79%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 11:55
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.79%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 04:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 04:50
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 02:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.27%EV -8.25%E -4.10%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 12:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 46.94%EV -16.92%E -9.30%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.50%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.56%EV -15.84%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-04 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 14:30
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 03:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 07:15
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 07:05
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 02:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 16:30
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 14:19
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 14:19
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 02:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.42%EV -13.72%E -7.26%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-03 16:35
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 08:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -9.62%E -4.86%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 14:15
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 14:20
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-03 02:40
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 06:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -10.53%E -5.37%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 11:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16%3.1%2026-09-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%3.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%3.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18%3.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.93%4.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%7.5%2026-09-04 13:40