Idioma:Português
AD Ceuta FC v Celta Fortuna
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
AD Ceuta FC (Local)
Previsão 45.65%2.19odd justa
EV -5.05%
Vantagem -2.43%
Kelly -4.68%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.20%45.69%45.63%47.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.982.002.0854.95%50.44%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Celta Fortuna (Visitante)
Previsão 27.20%3.68odd justa
EV +0.650%
Vantagem +0.176%
Kelly +0.241%
Crescimento +0.002%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.31%27.17%27.13%28.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.423.403.7031.25%29.26%29.41%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 27.15%3.68odd justa
EV -2.27%
Vantagem -0.629%
Kelly -0.871%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.21%27.14%27.24%28.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.363.333.6032.26%29.77%30.08%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: AD Ceuta FC (Local): 45.65%; Celta Fortuna (Visitante): 27.20%; Empate: 27.15%. Para Celta Fortuna (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.68. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.650%.
Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.07%E -5.11%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV +0.650%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.80%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -0.710%E -0.195%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.10%EV -7.97%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.51%E -2.66%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.37%EV -0.982%E -0.270%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.44%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -12.35%E -6.43%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -8.25%E -4.10%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -3.70%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -7.15%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 08:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 06:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 14:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -6.88%E -3.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.79%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.27%EV -14.18%E -7.54%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.27%EV -14.18%E -7.54%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.27%EV -14.18%E -7.54%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.80%EV -6.97%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.36%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 16:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -5.05%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 07:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.79%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.79%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 02:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.27%EV -8.25%E -4.10%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 12:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.94%EV -16.92%E -9.30%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.50%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.56%EV -15.84%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.42%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 14:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 03:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 07:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 02:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-03 02:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.42%EV -13.72%E -7.26%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-03 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.70%E -4.35%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 08:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -9.62%E -4.86%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-03 02:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -10.53%E -5.37%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.93% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |