A Escola das Odds

Villarreal v Celta Vigo

Início: 2026-04-26 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Villarreal (Local)

Previsão 45.92%2.18odd justa
EV -1.27%
Vantagem -0.592%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.66%45.95%46.02%48.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.052.1551.28%49.03%48.78%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Celta Vigo (Visitante)

Previsão 25.95%3.85odd justa
EV +2.50%
Vantagem +0.633%
Kelly +0.848%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.16%25.94%26.05%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.633.603.9532.26%27.54%27.78%25.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.13%3.55odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -0.441%
Kelly -0.617%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.76%28.10%27.94%29.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.343.393.5032.26%29.93%29.50%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -9.08%E -4.59%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV +2.50%E +0.633%K +0.848%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -2.95%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 00:25
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.74%EV -1.27%E -0.592%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.34%EV +0.685%E +0.177%K +0.238%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:10
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:10
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:09
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:09
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.71%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.37%EV -0.872%E -0.228%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:35
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.79%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.36%EV -1.13%E -0.297%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.84%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-24 00:35
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.79%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.36%EV -1.13%E -0.297%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.84%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-24 00:40
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -1.13%E -0.297%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.47%EV -9.14%E -2.83%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:55
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 45.39%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:49
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 45.39%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:49
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.73%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 21:45
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:10
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:09
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:10
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:09
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:44
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:10
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:10
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:10
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -9.54%E -4.84%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 22:10
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -9.54%E -4.84%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 22:10
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 21:49
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:10
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 22:09
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 00:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:04
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:45
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:43
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:45
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:44
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:10
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:09
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:09
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 23:05
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 21:45
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -2.95%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:05
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:05
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -6.78%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.43%EV -8.40%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -4.92%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 23:09
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 23:04
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 21:40
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 22:10
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:49
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:50
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:49
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:45
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -19.56%E -6.31%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-24 00:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17%3.0%2026-04-24 00:10
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%4.9%2026-04-24 03:35