Szkoła Kursów

Villarreal v Celta Vigo

Początek: 2026-04-26 19:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Villarreal (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 45.92%2.18kurs godziwy
EV -1.27%
Przewaga -0.592%
Kelly -1.11%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.15

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
43.66%45.95%46.02%48.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.952.042.052.1551.28%49.03%48.78%46.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Celta Vigo (Goście)

Prognoza 25.95%3.85kurs godziwy
EV +2.50%
Przewaga +0.633%
Kelly +0.848%
Wzrost +0.021%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.16%25.94%26.05%28.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.633.603.9532.26%27.54%27.78%25.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.13%3.55kurs godziwy
EV -1.54%
Przewaga -0.441%
Kelly -0.617%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.76%28.10%27.94%29.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.343.393.5032.26%29.93%29.50%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -9.08%E -4.59%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV +2.50%E +0.633%K +0.848%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -2.95%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 00:25
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.74%EV -1.27%E -0.592%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.34%EV +0.685%E +0.177%K +0.238%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:10
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:10
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:09
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:09
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.71%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.37%EV -0.872%E -0.228%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:35
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.79%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.36%EV -1.13%E -0.297%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.84%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-24 00:35
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.79%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.36%EV -1.13%E -0.297%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.84%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-24 00:40
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -1.13%E -0.297%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.47%EV -9.14%E -2.83%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:55
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 45.39%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:49
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 45.39%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:49
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.73%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 21:45
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:10
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:09
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:10
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:09
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:44
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:10
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:10
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:10
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -9.54%E -4.84%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 22:10
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -9.54%E -4.84%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 22:10
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 21:49
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:10
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 22:09
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 00:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:04
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:45
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:43
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:45
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:44
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:10
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:09
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:09
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 23:05
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 21:45
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -2.95%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:05
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:05
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -6.78%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.43%EV -8.40%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -4.92%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 23:09
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 23:04
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 21:40
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 22:10
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:49
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:50
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:49
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:45
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -19.56%E -6.31%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-24 00:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17%3.0%2026-04-24 00:10
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%4.9%2026-04-24 03:35