Die Schule der Quoten

Villarreal v Celta Vigo

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-26 19:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Villarreal (Heim)

Prognose 45.92%2.18faire Quote
EV -1.27%
Vorteil -0.592%
Kelly -1.11%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
43.66%45.95%46.02%48.19%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.952.042.052.1551.28%49.03%48.78%46.51%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Celta Vigo (Auswärts)

Prognose 25.95%3.85faire Quote
EV +2.50%
Vorteil +0.633%
Kelly +0.848%
Wachstum +0.021%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.16%25.94%26.05%28.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.633.603.9532.26%27.54%27.78%25.32%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.13%3.55faire Quote
EV -1.54%
Vorteil -0.441%
Kelly -0.617%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.76%28.10%27.94%29.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.343.393.5032.26%29.93%29.50%28.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -9.08%E -4.59%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV +2.50%E +0.633%K +0.848%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -2.95%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 00:25
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.74%EV -1.27%E -0.592%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.34%EV +0.685%E +0.177%K +0.238%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:10
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:10
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:09
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:09
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.71%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.37%EV -0.872%E -0.228%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:35
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.79%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.36%EV -1.13%E -0.297%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.84%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-24 00:35
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.79%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.36%EV -1.13%E -0.297%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.84%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-24 00:40
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -1.13%E -0.297%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.47%EV -9.14%E -2.83%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:55
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 45.39%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:49
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 45.39%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:49
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.73%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 21:45
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:10
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:09
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:10
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:09
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:44
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:10
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:10
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:10
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -9.54%E -4.84%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 22:10
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -9.54%E -4.84%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 22:10
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 21:49
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:10
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 22:09
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 00:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:04
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:45
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:43
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:45
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:44
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:10
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:09
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:09
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 23:05
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 21:45
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -2.95%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:05
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:05
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -6.78%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.43%EV -8.40%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -4.92%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 23:09
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 23:04
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 21:40
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 22:10
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:49
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:50
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:49
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:45
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -19.56%E -6.31%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-24 00:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17%3.0%2026-04-24 00:10
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%4.9%2026-04-24 03:35