مدرسة الاحتمالات

Villarreal v Celta Vigo

البداية: 2026-04-26 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Villarreal (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.92%2.18السعر العادل
EV -1.27%
الأفضلية -0.592%
Kelly -1.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.66%45.95%46.02%48.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.042.052.1551.28%49.03%48.78%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Celta Vigo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.95%3.85السعر العادل
EV +2.50%
الأفضلية +0.633%
Kelly +0.848%
النمو +0.021%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.16%25.94%26.05%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.633.603.9532.26%27.54%27.78%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.13%3.55السعر العادل
EV -1.54%
الأفضلية -0.441%
Kelly -0.617%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.76%28.10%27.94%29.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.343.393.5032.26%29.93%29.50%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -9.08%E -4.59%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV +2.50%E +0.633%K +0.848%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -2.95%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 00:25
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.74%EV -1.27%E -0.592%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.34%EV +0.685%E +0.177%K +0.238%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:10
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:10
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:09
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -5.41%E -2.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.093%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:09
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.71%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.37%EV -0.872%E -0.228%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:35
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.79%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.36%EV -1.13%E -0.297%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.84%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-24 00:35
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.79%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.36%EV -1.13%E -0.297%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.84%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-24 00:40
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -1.13%E -0.297%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.47%EV -9.14%E -2.83%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:55
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 45.39%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:49
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 45.39%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:49
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.73%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 21:45
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:10
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:09
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:10
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:09
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:44
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:10
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:10
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:10
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -9.54%E -4.84%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 22:10
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -9.54%E -4.84%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 22:10
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 21:49
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:10
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 22:09
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 00:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:04
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:45
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:43
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:45
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:44
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:10
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:09
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:09
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 23:05
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 21:45
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -2.95%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:05
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:05
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -6.78%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.43%EV -8.40%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -4.92%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 23:09
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 23:04
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 21:40
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 22:10
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:49
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:50
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:49
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:45
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -19.56%E -6.31%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-24 00:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17%3.0%2026-04-24 00:10
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%4.9%2026-04-24 03:35