赔率学院

Valencia v Rayo Vallecano

开赛时间: 2026-05-14 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Valencia (主队)

预测 42.62%2.35公平赔率
EV -1.98%
优势 -0.860%
Kelly -1.52%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
41.02%42.62%42.58%43.55%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.102.212.202.3047.62%45.17%45.45%43.48%MIN均值中位数MAX

Rayo Vallecano (客队)

预测 26.05%3.84公平赔率
EV +2.10%
优势 +0.536%
Kelly +0.720%
增长率 +0.015%

假设最高赔率为 3.92

博彩公司预测分布
24.73%26.06%26.06%27.72%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.203.583.553.9231.25%27.94%28.17%25.51%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 31.34%3.19公平赔率
EV -1.29%
优势 -0.410%
Kelly -0.601%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
30.05%31.32%31.36%32.80%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.803.003.003.1535.71%33.28%33.33%31.75%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.48%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.73%EV +2.10%E +0.536%K +0.720%G +0.015%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 16:55
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.44%EV -1.98%E -0.860%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV +1.58%E +0.405%K +0.545%G +0.009%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.54%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 16:54
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.98%E -0.860%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +0.279%E +0.072%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 16:56
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.98%E -0.860%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +0.279%E +0.072%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 16:56
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.87%EV -3.26%E -1.43%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.54%EV -0.763%E -0.200%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.59%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-14 16:46
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.38%EV -2.40%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.81%EV -2.07%E -0.549%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 16:56
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.33%E -0.620%K -0.846%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 16:55
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.33%E -0.620%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 16:45
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -2.33%E -0.620%K -0.846%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 16:45
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.33%E -0.620%K -0.846%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.06%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV -1.29%E -0.410%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 16:05
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.41%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 16:56
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 42.40%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:54
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:30
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:41
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:45
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 16:45
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 16:45
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.16%EV -1.98%E -0.860%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.28%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 16:56
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.37%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 16:56
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.37%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 16:56
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:56
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.55%EV -7.52%E -3.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.19%EV -1.92%E -0.613%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:54
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 16:11
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 16:11
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 16:11
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 16:10
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 16:35
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 16:35
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:41
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:40
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:40
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:41
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.84%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 16:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.84%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.84%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 16:55
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.84%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 16:56
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.54%EV -7.52%E -3.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.84%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.08%EV -6.93%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 16:56
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.84%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 16:56
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.84%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 16:25
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 16:54
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 16:55
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.52%E -3.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 16:56
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -7.52%E -3.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 16:41
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -7.52%E -3.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 16:40
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -7.52%E -3.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 16:41
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 15:55
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 16:55
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-14 16:56
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 16:25
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 16:45
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 16:55
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%EV -7.95%E -3.68%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 16:41
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 16:55
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.21%EV -9.65%E -4.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -12.74%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-14 16:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.65%E -5.20%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-14 16:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.82%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.81%-0.2%2026-05-14 16:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-05-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-05-14 16:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-05-14 16:56
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%1.0%2026-05-14 16:51
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-05-14 16:11