مدرسة الاحتمالات

Valencia v Rayo Vallecano

البداية: 2026-05-14 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Valencia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.62%2.35السعر العادل
EV -1.98%
الأفضلية -0.860%
Kelly -1.52%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.02%42.62%42.58%43.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.212.202.3047.62%45.17%45.45%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Rayo Vallecano (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.05%3.84السعر العادل
EV +2.10%
الأفضلية +0.536%
Kelly +0.720%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.73%26.06%26.06%27.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.583.553.9231.25%27.94%28.17%25.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.34%3.19السعر العادل
EV -1.29%
الأفضلية -0.410%
Kelly -0.601%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.05%31.32%31.36%32.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.003.003.1535.71%33.28%33.33%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.48%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.73%EV +2.10%E +0.536%K +0.720%G +0.015%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 16:55
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.44%EV -1.98%E -0.860%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV +1.58%E +0.405%K +0.545%G +0.009%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.54%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 16:54
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.98%E -0.860%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +0.279%E +0.072%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 16:56
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.98%E -0.860%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV +0.279%E +0.072%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 16:56
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.87%EV -3.26%E -1.43%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.54%EV -0.763%E -0.200%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.59%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-14 16:46
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.38%EV -2.40%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.81%EV -2.07%E -0.549%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 16:56
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.33%E -0.620%K -0.846%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 16:55
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.33%E -0.620%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 16:45
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -2.33%E -0.620%K -0.846%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 16:45
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.33%E -0.620%K -0.846%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.06%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV -1.29%E -0.410%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 16:05
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.41%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 16:56
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 42.40%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:54
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:30
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:41
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:45
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 16:45
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 16:45
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.16%EV -1.98%E -0.860%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.28%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 16:56
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.37%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 16:56
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.37%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 16:56
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -4.54%E -2.02%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:56
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.55%EV -7.52%E -3.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.19%EV -1.92%E -0.613%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:54
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 16:11
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 16:11
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 16:11
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 16:10
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 16:35
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 16:35
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:41
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:40
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:40
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 16:41
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.84%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 16:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.84%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.84%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 16:55
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.84%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 16:56
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.54%EV -7.52%E -3.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.84%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.08%EV -6.93%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 16:56
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.84%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 16:56
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.84%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 16:25
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 16:54
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 16:55
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.52%E -3.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 16:56
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -7.52%E -3.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 16:41
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -7.52%E -3.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 16:40
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -7.52%E -3.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 16:41
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 15:55
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 16:55
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-14 16:56
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 16:25
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 16:45
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 16:55
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%EV -7.95%E -3.68%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 16:41
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.13%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 16:55
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.21%EV -9.65%E -4.55%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -12.74%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-14 16:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.65%E -5.20%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-14 16:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.82%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.81%-0.2%2026-05-14 16:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-05-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-05-14 16:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-05-14 16:56
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%1.0%2026-05-14 16:51
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-05-14 16:11