A Escola das Odds

Valencia v Atlético Madrid

Início: 2026-05-02 14:15 UTC

Final: Valencia 0–2 Atlético Madrid

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Valencia (Local)

Previsão 55.56%1.80odd justa
EV -0.540%
Vantagem -0.302%
Kelly -0.683%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.58%55.59%55.48%56.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.701.701.7961.73%58.83%58.82%55.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlético Madrid (Visitante)

Previsão 20.15%4.96odd justa
EV +2.76%
Vantagem +0.541%
Kelly +0.673%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.96%20.10%20.21%21.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.404.704.605.1022.73%21.30%21.74%19.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.29%4.12odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.344%
Kelly -0.456%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.33%24.31%24.30%27.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.863.904.0631.25%25.90%25.64%24.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66%EV -4.98%E -2.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.00%EV +2.76%E +0.541%K +0.673%G +0.019%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.34%EV -3.34%E -0.839%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 14:06
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.61%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.743%E +0.149%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 14:11
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +0.743%E +0.149%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 14:04
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.743%E +0.149%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:45
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.40%EV -4.98%E -2.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.48%EV -0.264%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.11%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.40%EV -4.98%E -2.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.48%EV -0.264%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.11%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.36%EV -0.264%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 14:09
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -0.264%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 14:00
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.58%EV -2.21%E -1.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%EV -1.27%E -0.260%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.86%EV -3.32%E -1.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%EV -1.27%E -0.260%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 14:10
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.86%EV -3.32%E -1.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%EV -1.27%E -0.260%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.15%EV -4.43%E -2.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.71%EV -1.27%E -0.260%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 14:10
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.19%EV -4.43%E -2.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.89%EV -2.08%E -0.427%K -0.538%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.92%EV -1.88%E -0.466%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 14:00
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.87%EV -1.65%E -0.933%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23%EV -3.29%E -0.685%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 14:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -3.29%E -0.685%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:10
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -3.29%E -0.685%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:10
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -3.29%E -0.685%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:06
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -3.29%E -0.685%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:10
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -3.29%E -0.685%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:10
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.75%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -4.29%E -0.904%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 14:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -4.98%E -2.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -4.29%E -0.904%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -4.29%E -0.904%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 14:10
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.29%E -0.904%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:10
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -4.29%E -0.904%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:10
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.05%EV -3.32%E -1.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%EV -5.30%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 13:55
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -4.98%E -2.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -5.30%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 14:00
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11%EV -6.10%E -3.61%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.30%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 14:01
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.30%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 14:10
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:55
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.98%E -2.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:00
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -4.43%E -2.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:51
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -4.43%E -2.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:51
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 14:10
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -7.76%E -4.68%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:51
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.15%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:10
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 14:10
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 14:06
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 14:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 14:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -8.87%E -5.41%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -9.99%E -6.16%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -22.28%E -6.96%K -10.13%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-02 14:10
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.20%EV -0.540%E -0.302%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.90%EV -10.74%E -2.42%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.90%EV -1.40%E -0.344%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 14:06
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -11.35%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 14:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.22%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-05-02 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-05-02 14:11
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-05-02 13:25