مدرسة الاحتمالات

Valencia v Atlético Madrid

البداية: 2026-05-02 14:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Valencia 0–2 Atlético Madrid

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Valencia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.56%1.80السعر العادل
EV -0.540%
الأفضلية -0.302%
Kelly -0.683%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.79

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.58%55.59%55.48%56.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.701.701.7961.73%58.83%58.82%55.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlético Madrid (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.15%4.96السعر العادل
EV +2.76%
الأفضلية +0.541%
Kelly +0.673%
النمو +0.019%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.96%20.10%20.21%21.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.404.704.605.1022.73%21.30%21.74%19.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.29%4.12السعر العادل
EV -1.40%
الأفضلية -0.344%
Kelly -0.456%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.33%24.31%24.30%27.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.863.904.0631.25%25.90%25.64%24.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66%EV -4.98%E -2.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.00%EV +2.76%E +0.541%K +0.673%G +0.019%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.34%EV -3.34%E -0.839%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 14:06
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.61%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.743%E +0.149%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 14:11
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +0.743%E +0.149%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 14:04
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.743%E +0.149%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:45
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.40%EV -4.98%E -2.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.48%EV -0.264%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.11%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.40%EV -4.98%E -2.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.48%EV -0.264%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.11%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.36%EV -0.264%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 14:09
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -0.264%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 14:00
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.58%EV -2.21%E -1.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%EV -1.27%E -0.260%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.86%EV -3.32%E -1.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%EV -1.27%E -0.260%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 14:10
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.86%EV -3.32%E -1.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%EV -1.27%E -0.260%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.15%EV -4.43%E -2.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.71%EV -1.27%E -0.260%K -0.326%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 14:10
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.19%EV -4.43%E -2.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.89%EV -2.08%E -0.427%K -0.538%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.92%EV -1.88%E -0.466%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 14:00
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.87%EV -1.65%E -0.933%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23%EV -3.29%E -0.685%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 14:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -3.29%E -0.685%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:10
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -3.29%E -0.685%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:10
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -3.29%E -0.685%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:06
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -3.29%E -0.685%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:10
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -3.29%E -0.685%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:10
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.75%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -4.29%E -0.904%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 14:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -4.98%E -2.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -4.29%E -0.904%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -4.29%E -0.904%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 14:10
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.29%E -0.904%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:10
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -4.29%E -0.904%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:10
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.05%EV -3.32%E -1.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%EV -5.30%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 13:55
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -4.98%E -2.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -5.30%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 14:00
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11%EV -6.10%E -3.61%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.30%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 14:01
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.30%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 14:10
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:55
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.98%E -2.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:00
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -4.43%E -2.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:51
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -4.43%E -2.58%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:51
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 14:10
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -7.76%E -4.68%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:51
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.15%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:10
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 14:10
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.85%E -0.713%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 14:06
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 14:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 14:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -8.87%E -5.41%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.92%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -9.99%E -6.16%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -22.28%E -6.96%K -10.13%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-02 14:10
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.20%EV -0.540%E -0.302%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.90%EV -10.74%E -2.42%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.90%EV -1.40%E -0.344%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 14:06
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -11.35%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 14:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.22%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-05-02 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-05-02 14:11
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-05-02 13:25