La scuola delle quote

Valencia v Alavés

Inizio: 2026-03-08 20:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Valencia (Casa)

Previsione 45.59%2.19quota equa
EV -1.53%
Vantaggio -0.710%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.50%45.56%45.57%47.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.092.102.1650.00%47.93%47.62%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alavés (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.58%4.24quota equa
EV -0.008%
Vantaggio -0.002%
Kelly -0.002%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.90%23.70%23.61%25.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.943.954.2428.57%25.37%25.32%23.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.83%3.24quota equa
EV +0.201%
Vantaggio +0.062%
Kelly +0.089%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.99%30.74%30.82%31.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.043.053.2536.36%32.86%32.79%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV +0.201%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 20:00
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -1.34%E -0.419%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -7.92%E -3.92%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -12.74%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -1.34%E -0.419%K -0.609%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 20:00
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.50%EV -2.90%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.86%EV -3.19%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 19:59
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.73%EV -3.50%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 19:59
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.42%EV -2.45%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.42%EV -2.13%E -0.513%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.16%EV -3.81%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 19:59
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.36%EV -2.90%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -4.12%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 20:00
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.36%EV -2.90%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -4.12%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 19:59
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.97%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 20:00
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.97%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 20:00
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.97%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 20:00
Coolbet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.95%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.74%EV -3.55%E -0.867%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.32%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 19:59
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.79%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.90%EV -0.008%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 19:59
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.09%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 20:00
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 19:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 20:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 20:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 20:00
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 19:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 20:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 19:59
Unibet (FR)2.01I 49.75%NM 46.49%EV -8.37%E -4.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 19:59
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 19:59
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 19:59
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 19:59
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.73%E -2.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.49%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 19:59
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 19:59
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 19:59
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 19:59
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 20:00
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 20:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 20:00
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.44%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 20:00
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.44%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.44%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 19:59
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 20:00
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 20:00
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 20:00
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 20:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 19:59
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.92%E -3.92%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 19:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 19:59
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.74%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.50%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 20:00
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.97%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.98%EV -8.43%E -2.84%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 19:59
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.07%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.67%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 19:50
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 20:00
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 20:00
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.90%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 20:00
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 44.06%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 19:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 19:59
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -17.46%E -4.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -15.21%E -5.53%K -8.69%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-08 19:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13%0.4%2026-03-08 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%0.5%2026-03-08 20:00
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%0.6%2026-03-08 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%0.6%2026-03-08 20:00
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-03-08 20:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.08%2.9%2026-03-08 20:00