L’École des cotes

Valencia v Alavés

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 20:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Valencia (Local)

Prévision 45.59%2.19cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.710%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.50%45.56%45.57%47.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.092.102.1650.00%47.93%47.62%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alavés (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.58%4.24cote équitable
EV -0.008%
Avantage -0.002%
Kelly -0.002%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.90%23.70%23.61%25.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.943.954.2428.57%25.37%25.32%23.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.83%3.24cote équitable
EV +0.201%
Avantage +0.062%
Kelly +0.089%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.99%30.74%30.82%31.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.043.053.2536.36%32.86%32.79%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV +0.201%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 20:00
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -1.34%E -0.419%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -7.92%E -3.92%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -12.74%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -1.34%E -0.419%K -0.609%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 20:00
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.50%EV -2.90%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.86%EV -3.19%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 19:59
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.73%EV -3.50%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 19:59
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.42%EV -2.45%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.42%EV -2.13%E -0.513%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.16%EV -3.81%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 19:59
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.36%EV -2.90%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -4.12%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 20:00
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.36%EV -2.90%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -4.12%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 19:59
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.97%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 20:00
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.97%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 20:00
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.97%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 20:00
Coolbet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.95%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.74%EV -3.55%E -0.867%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.32%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 19:59
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.79%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.90%EV -0.008%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 19:59
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.09%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 20:00
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 19:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 20:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 20:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 20:00
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 19:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 20:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 19:59
Unibet (FR)2.01I 49.75%NM 46.49%EV -8.37%E -4.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 19:59
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 19:59
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 19:59
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 19:59
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.73%E -2.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.49%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 19:59
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 19:59
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 19:59
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 19:59
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 20:00
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 20:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 20:00
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.44%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 20:00
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.44%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.44%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 19:59
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 20:00
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 20:00
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 20:00
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 20:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 19:59
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.92%E -3.92%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 19:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 19:59
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.74%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.50%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 20:00
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.97%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.98%EV -8.43%E -2.84%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 19:59
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.07%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.67%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 19:50
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 20:00
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 20:00
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.90%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 20:00
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 44.06%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 19:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 19:59
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -17.46%E -4.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -15.21%E -5.53%K -8.69%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-08 19:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13%0.4%2026-03-08 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%0.5%2026-03-08 20:00
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%0.6%2026-03-08 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%0.6%2026-03-08 20:00
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-03-08 20:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.08%2.9%2026-03-08 20:00