مدرسة الاحتمالات

Valencia v Alavés

البداية: 2026-03-08 20:02 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Valencia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.59%2.19السعر العادل
EV -1.53%
الأفضلية -0.710%
Kelly -1.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.50%45.56%45.57%47.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.092.102.1650.00%47.93%47.62%46.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alavés (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.58%4.24السعر العادل
EV -0.008%
الأفضلية -0.002%
Kelly -0.002%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.24

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.90%23.70%23.61%25.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.943.954.2428.57%25.37%25.32%23.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.83%3.24السعر العادل
EV +0.201%
الأفضلية +0.062%
Kelly +0.089%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.99%30.74%30.82%31.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.043.053.2536.36%32.86%32.79%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV +0.201%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 20:00
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -1.34%E -0.419%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -7.92%E -3.92%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -12.74%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -1.34%E -0.419%K -0.609%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 20:00
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.50%EV -2.90%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.86%EV -3.19%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 19:59
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.73%EV -3.50%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 19:59
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.42%EV -2.45%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.42%EV -2.13%E -0.513%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.16%EV -3.81%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 19:59
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.36%EV -2.90%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -4.12%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 20:00
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.36%EV -2.90%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -4.12%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 19:59
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.97%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 20:00
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.97%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 20:00
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.97%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 20:00
Coolbet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.95%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.74%EV -3.55%E -0.867%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.32%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 19:59
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.79%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.90%EV -0.008%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 19:59
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.09%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 20:00
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 19:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 20:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 20:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 20:00
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 19:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 20:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 19:59
Unibet (FR)2.01I 49.75%NM 46.49%EV -8.37%E -4.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 19:59
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 19:59
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 19:59
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 19:59
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.73%E -2.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.49%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 19:59
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 19:59
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 19:59
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 19:59
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 20:00
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 20:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 20:00
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.44%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 20:00
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.44%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.44%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 19:59
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 20:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.31%E -0.807%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 20:00
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 20:00
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.67%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 20:00
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.38%E -2.73%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 20:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.03%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 19:59
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.92%E -3.92%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 19:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 19:59
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.74%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.50%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 20:00
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.97%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.85%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.98%EV -8.43%E -2.84%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 19:59
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.07%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.67%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 19:50
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 20:00
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 20:00
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.90%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 20:00
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 44.06%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -9.21%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 19:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 19:59
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.56%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -17.46%E -4.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -15.21%E -5.53%K -8.69%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-08 19:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13%0.4%2026-03-08 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%0.5%2026-03-08 20:00
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%0.6%2026-03-08 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%0.6%2026-03-08 20:00
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%1.4%2026-03-08 20:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.08%2.9%2026-03-08 20:00