默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 19:30 UTC

最终结果: Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sevilla (主队)

预测 37.09%2.70公平赔率
EV +3.47%
优势 +1.25%
Kelly +1.94%
增长率 +0.067%

假设最高赔率为 2.79

博彩公司预测分布
34.78%37.05%36.97%38.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.532.502.7941.67%39.56%40.00%35.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

Rayo Vallecano (客队)

预测 30.29%3.30公平赔率
EV +3.00%
优势 +0.883%
Kelly +1.25%
增长率 +0.038%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
28.63%30.34%30.32%31.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.133.103.4034.48%31.92%32.26%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 32.62%3.07公平赔率
EV -2.15%
优势 -0.716%
Kelly -1.07%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
31.17%32.61%32.72%33.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.892.903.0036.36%34.59%34.48%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Sevilla (主队):37.09%;Rayo Vallecano (客队):30.29%;平局:32.62%。 对于“Sevilla (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.70。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.79,对应+3.47%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.78%EV +3.47%E +1.25%K +1.94%G +0.067%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.93%EV -6.71%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 19:19
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.33%EV -0.977%E -0.366%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.79%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.88%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 19:24
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.68%EV -1.72%E -0.648%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV -3.06%E -0.955%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 19:00
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%EV -1.72%E -0.648%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.88%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -1.72%E -0.648%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -7.60%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 19:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.70%EV -2.09%E -0.791%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.90%EV -1.84%E -0.569%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.41%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 19:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.19%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -2.45%E -0.761%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.19%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.03%EV -2.45%E -0.761%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 19:24
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.32%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 19:24
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -2.15%E -0.716%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 19:24
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -7.04%E -2.47%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 19:19
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.06%E -2.10%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 19:15
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 19:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.09%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99%EV +1.49%E +0.444%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.92%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 19:04
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.54%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%EV -1.54%E -0.474%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 19:25
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.85%EV -6.06%E -2.10%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 19:23
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -2.15%E -0.716%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 19:24
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -2.15%E -0.716%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 19:22
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -7.60%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 19:04
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.04%E -2.47%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 19:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.06%E -2.10%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:25
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.60%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -4.76%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:24
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -10.63%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.63%EV +3.00%E +0.883%K +1.25%G +0.038%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -2.15%E -0.716%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.55%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV +1.49%E +0.444%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.67%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 19:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.55%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV +1.49%E +0.444%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.67%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 19:25
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.55%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV +1.49%E +0.444%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.67%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 19:25
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -1.54%E -0.474%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.91%EV -6.06%E -2.10%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 19:04
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -1.54%E -0.474%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.91%EV -6.06%E -2.10%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 19:05
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.06%E -0.955%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 19:24
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:13
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.60%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 19:24
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 19:24
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 19:24
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 19:24
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.06%E -2.10%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 19:24
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.04%E -2.47%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 19:24
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 19:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.60%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 19:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -9.14%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.06%E -0.955%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -2.15%E -0.716%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:19
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -9.14%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -0.027%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 19:24
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -9.14%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -0.027%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 19:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -9.14%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.06%E -0.955%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 19:24
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.14%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -7.60%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 19:25
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -9.88%E -4.06%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.06%E -0.955%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.04%E -2.47%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 19:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -9.88%E -4.06%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.06%E -0.955%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.04%E -2.47%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 19:24
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.88%E -4.06%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -9.88%E -4.06%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 19:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.57%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 19:25
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.15%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 19:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.85%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%0.5%2026-08-15 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-08-15 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-08-15 19:25
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03%0.9%2026-08-15 19:25
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%1.5%2026-08-15 19:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.0%2026-08-15 19:25