مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano

2026-08-15 19:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sevilla (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.24%2.37السعر العادل
EV -0.305%
الأفضلية -0.129%
Kelly -0.224%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.21%42.33%42.15%43.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.232.222.3648.78%44.94%45.05%42.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Rayo Vallecano (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.37%3.53السعر العادل
EV +0.701%
الأفضلية +0.197%
Kelly +0.275%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.87%28.31%28.44%29.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.053.263.253.5532.79%30.72%30.77%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.39%3.40السعر العادل
EV -0.956%
الأفضلية -0.284%
Kelly -0.404%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.53%29.36%29.42%30.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.163.103.3733.90%31.69%32.26%29.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -6.22%E -2.80%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV +0.701%E +0.197%K +0.275%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 15:39
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -6.22%E -2.80%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV +0.701%E +0.197%K +0.275%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 20:49
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.717%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 02:05
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 42.94%EV -6.22%E -2.80%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -2.14%E -0.619%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 19:40
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 11:45
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 11:44
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 11:44
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 11:45
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 42.72%EV -6.64%E -3.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 19:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 11:45
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 22:30
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%EV -0.305%E -0.129%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.05%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 29.22%EV -0.956%E -0.284%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-06 07:10
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.79%EV -3.68%E -1.62%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 14:35
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.78%EV -1.99%E -0.860%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.02%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -2.43%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-06 07:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 17:05
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 17:04
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 05:20
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 16:25
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 11:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 19:35
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 11:58
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.29%E -5.38%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:45
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -3.68%E -1.62%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 13:49
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -3.68%E -1.62%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:00
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 16:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 13:49
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 21:04
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:35
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:03
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:05
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -7.91%E -3.63%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 16:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 13:50
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.11%EV -10.44%E -4.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.56%EV -11.24%E -3.72%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 14:34
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 16:34
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -13.40%E -6.54%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -13.30%E -4.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -13.30%E -4.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-02 22:19
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.09%EV -12.56%E -6.07%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.57%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.34%EV -12.71%E -4.28%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-22 08:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.42%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%3.7%2026-07-25 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.42%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%3.7%2026-07-25 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.42%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%3.7%2026-07-25 23:35
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%5.0%2026-07-25 23:55