La escuela de los momios

Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano

2026-08-15 19:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sevilla (Local)

Predicción 42.24%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.305%
Ventaja -0.129%
Kelly -0.224%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.21%42.33%42.15%43.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.232.222.3648.78%44.94%45.05%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rayo Vallecano (Visitante)

Predicción 28.37%3.53momio equitativo
EV +0.701%
Ventaja +0.197%
Kelly +0.275%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.87%28.31%28.44%29.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.263.253.5532.79%30.72%30.77%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.39%3.40momio equitativo
EV -0.956%
Ventaja -0.284%
Kelly -0.404%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.53%29.36%29.42%30.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.163.103.3733.90%31.69%32.26%29.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -6.22%E -2.80%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV +0.701%E +0.197%K +0.275%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 15:39
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -6.22%E -2.80%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV +0.701%E +0.197%K +0.275%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 20:49
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.717%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 02:05
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 42.94%EV -6.22%E -2.80%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -2.14%E -0.619%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 19:40
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 11:45
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 11:44
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 11:44
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 11:45
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 42.72%EV -6.64%E -3.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 19:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 11:45
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 22:30
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%EV -0.305%E -0.129%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.05%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 29.22%EV -0.956%E -0.284%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-06 07:10
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.79%EV -3.68%E -1.62%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 14:35
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.78%EV -1.99%E -0.860%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.02%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -2.43%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-06 07:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 17:05
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 17:04
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 05:20
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 16:25
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 11:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 19:35
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 11:58
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.29%E -5.38%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:45
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -3.68%E -1.62%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 13:49
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -3.68%E -1.62%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:00
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 16:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 13:49
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 21:04
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:35
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:03
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:05
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -7.91%E -3.63%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 16:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 13:50
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.11%EV -10.44%E -4.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.56%EV -11.24%E -3.72%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 14:34
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 16:34
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -13.40%E -6.54%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -13.30%E -4.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -13.30%E -4.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-02 22:19
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.09%EV -12.56%E -6.07%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.57%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.34%EV -12.71%E -4.28%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-22 08:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.42%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%3.7%2026-07-25 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.42%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%3.7%2026-07-25 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.42%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%3.7%2026-07-25 23:35
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%5.0%2026-07-25 23:55