L’École des cotes

Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano

2026-08-15 19:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sevilla (Local)

Prévision 42.24%2.37cote équitable
EV -0.305%
Avantage -0.129%
Kelly -0.224%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.21%42.33%42.15%43.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.232.222.3648.78%44.94%45.05%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rayo Vallecano (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.37%3.53cote équitable
EV +0.701%
Avantage +0.197%
Kelly +0.275%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.87%28.31%28.44%29.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.263.253.5532.79%30.72%30.77%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.39%3.40cote équitable
EV -0.956%
Avantage -0.284%
Kelly -0.404%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.53%29.36%29.42%30.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.163.103.3733.90%31.69%32.26%29.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -6.22%E -2.80%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV +0.701%E +0.197%K +0.275%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 15:39
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -6.22%E -2.80%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV +0.701%E +0.197%K +0.275%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 20:49
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.717%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 02:05
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 42.94%EV -6.22%E -2.80%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -2.14%E -0.619%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 19:40
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 11:45
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 11:44
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 11:44
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 11:45
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 42.72%EV -6.64%E -3.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 19:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.01%E -0.913%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 11:45
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 22:30
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%EV -0.305%E -0.129%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.05%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 29.22%EV -0.956%E -0.284%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-06 07:10
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.79%EV -3.68%E -1.62%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 14:35
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.78%EV -1.99%E -0.860%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.02%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -2.43%E -0.731%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-06 07:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 17:05
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 17:04
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 05:20
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 16:25
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 11:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 19:35
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 11:58
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.29%E -5.38%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:45
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -3.68%E -1.62%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 13:49
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -3.68%E -1.62%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:00
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 16:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 13:49
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 21:04
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:35
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:03
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:05
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -7.91%E -3.63%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 16:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 13:50
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.11%EV -10.44%E -4.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.56%EV -11.24%E -3.72%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 14:34
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.18%E -4.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 16:34
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -13.40%E -6.54%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -13.30%E -4.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -13.30%E -4.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-02 22:19
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.09%EV -12.56%E -6.07%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.57%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.34%EV -12.71%E -4.28%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-22 08:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.42%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%3.7%2026-07-25 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.42%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%3.7%2026-07-25 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.42%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%3.7%2026-07-25 23:35
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%5.0%2026-07-25 23:55