Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Racing Club de Santander v Villarreal

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Racing Club de Santander (Local)

Prediction 29.53%3.39fair odd
EV +0.408%
Edge +0.120%
Kelly +0.170%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.55%29.52%29.55%30.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.13%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Villarreal (Visit)

Prediction 43.60%2.29fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.452%
Kelly -0.808%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.08%43.65%43.55%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.162.2748.78%46.23%46.40%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.87%3.72fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.530%
Kelly -0.730%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.80%26.83%26.90%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.6530.77%28.74%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Racing Club de Santander (Local): 29.53%; Villarreal (Visit): 43.60%; Draw: 26.87%. For Real Racing Club de Santander (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.40, producing a positive expected value of +0.408%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV +0.408%E +0.120%K +0.170%G +0.001%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.78%EV -2.77%E -1.24%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV +0.408%E +0.120%K +0.170%G +0.001%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.78%EV -2.77%E -1.24%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 09:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV +0.408%E +0.120%K +0.170%G +0.001%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.78%EV -2.77%E -1.24%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 09:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV +0.408%E +0.120%K +0.170%G +0.001%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 09:44
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -1.07%E -0.319%K -0.455%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.98%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 09:44
1xBet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 29.59%EV -1.66%E -0.498%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.41%EV -1.03%E -0.452%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%EV -1.93%E -0.530%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-14 18:10
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%EV -2.55%E -0.771%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.90%E -0.844%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.37%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-11 12:34
Pinnacle🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -2.55%E -0.771%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.00%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV -2.47%E -0.681%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%EV -2.55%E -0.771%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -2.77%E -1.24%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.43%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-12 03:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%EV -2.55%E -0.771%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.30%EV -2.77%E -1.24%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.43%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-12 03:24
Bally Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -2.55%E -0.771%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -5.82%E -2.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 09:44
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -2.55%E -0.771%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -5.82%E -2.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 09:45
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -2.55%E -0.771%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -5.82%E -2.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 09:44
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -2.55%E -0.771%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -5.82%E -2.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 09:44
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.55%E -0.771%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.28%E -0.910%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 12:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.57%EV -3.14%E -0.956%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.49%EV -2.77%E -1.24%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -3.28%E -0.910%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.71%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -3.28%E -0.910%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 15:45
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 19:04
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:29
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:30
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -6.69%E -3.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 11:34
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -6.69%E -3.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 09:44
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.95%EV -3.21%E -1.44%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 18:55
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:09
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:49
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.28%E -0.910%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 07:54
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 15:44
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.79%EV -5.82%E -2.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 19:06
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 15:44
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 15:43
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:29
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:29
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 12:54
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.57%E -3.57%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 09:44
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.57%E -3.57%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.64%EV -6.09%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -5.39%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 18:49
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -6.98%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 00:14
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.98%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:44
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.45%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.45%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.28%E -0.910%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 18:49
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.45%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:45
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.45%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 14:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.45%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 23:34
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.45%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 15:44
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.45%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -7.57%E -3.57%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 03:04
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.45%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 18:09
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.45%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 07:34
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.45%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 07:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.45%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -9.75%E -4.71%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-14 09:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.45%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -9.75%E -4.71%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-14 09:44
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 10:34
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.40%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 07:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-08-14 19:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-08-14 19:14
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-08-14 19:30
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-14 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-14 19:20
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-14 19:20

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