L’École des cotes

Real Racing Club de Santander v Villarreal

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Racing Club de Santander (Local)

Prévision 28.56%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -0.852%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.40%28.62%28.46%29.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.273.303.4032.26%30.60%30.30%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Villarreal (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.58%2.24cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.99%44.56%44.61%45.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.092.102.1851.55%47.89%47.62%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.86%3.72cote équitable
EV -0.621%
Avantage -0.168%
Kelly -0.230%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.53%26.82%26.93%27.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.443.403.7031.25%29.05%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.44%EV -2.81%E -1.29%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.06%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 05:00
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 07:35
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 07:35
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 07:34
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 07:33
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 12:59
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 05:00
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 05:05
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 08:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 12:59
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 12:59
LowVig.ag3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -4.90%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -0.621%E -0.168%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 15:39
BetOnline.ag3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -4.90%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -0.621%E -0.168%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 20:49
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-03 02:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 12:59
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-09 08:39
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-06 07:33
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-06 07:34
Pinnacle3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.91%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.80%EV -0.890%E -0.241%K -0.331%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 02:45
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -1.96%E -0.538%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 02:37
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -1.96%E -0.538%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 02:40
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 13:09
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 04:59
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 04:59
betano_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 04:59
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 05:00
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 16:05
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 05:00
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 05:00
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 05:00
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -13.51%E -6.97%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-24 08:05
Betclic (FR)3.17I 31.55%NM 28.13%EV -9.47%E -2.99%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.59%EV -10.84%E -5.42%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.27%EV -12.17%E -3.72%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 08:03
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.04%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.04%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 16:05
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 04:58
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 06:34
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 08:05
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.84%E -5.42%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-06 10:20
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -13.07%E -6.70%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 07:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.32%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%3.1%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.32%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%3.1%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.32%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%3.1%2026-07-25 23:30
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.18%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.62%4.4%2026-07-26 03:05