La escuela de los momios

Real Racing Club de Santander v Villarreal

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Real Racing Club de Santander (Local)

Predicción 28.56%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -0.852%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.40%28.62%28.46%29.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.273.303.4032.26%30.60%30.30%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Villarreal (Visitante)

Predicción 44.58%2.24momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.99%44.56%44.61%45.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.092.102.1851.55%47.89%47.62%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.86%3.72momio equitativo
EV -0.621%
Ventaja -0.168%
Kelly -0.230%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.53%26.82%26.93%27.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.443.403.7031.25%29.05%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.44%EV -2.81%E -1.29%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.06%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 05:00
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 07:35
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 07:35
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 07:34
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 07:33
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.90%E -0.852%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 12:59
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 05:00
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 05:05
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 08:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 12:59
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 12:59
LowVig.ag3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -4.90%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -0.621%E -0.168%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 15:39
BetOnline.ag3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -4.90%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -0.621%E -0.168%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 20:49
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-03 02:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 12:59
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-09 08:39
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-06 07:33
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-06 07:34
Pinnacle3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.91%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.80%EV -0.890%E -0.241%K -0.331%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 02:45
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -1.96%E -0.538%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 02:37
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -1.96%E -0.538%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 02:40
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 13:09
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 04:59
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 04:59
betano_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 04:59
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 05:00
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 16:05
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 05:00
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 05:00
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 05:00
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -13.51%E -6.97%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-24 08:05
Betclic (FR)3.17I 31.55%NM 28.13%EV -9.47%E -2.99%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.59%EV -10.84%E -5.42%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.27%EV -12.17%E -3.72%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 08:03
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.04%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.04%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 16:05
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 04:58
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 06:34
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 08:05
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.84%E -5.42%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-06 10:20
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -13.07%E -6.70%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 07:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.32%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%3.1%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.32%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%3.1%2026-07-26 05:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.32%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%3.1%2026-07-25 23:30
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%3.5%2026-07-26 05:25