The School of OddsReal Madrid v Real Sociedad
Head to Head
Real Madrid (Local)
Prediction 65.67%1.52fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -8.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.75%65.77%65.28%68.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.401.4674%72%72%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Real Sociedad (Visit)
Prediction 14.61%6.84fair odd
EV +5.96%
Edge +0.822%
Kelly +0.953%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 7.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.09%14.54%14.78%15.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.756.536.657.2517%15%15%14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 19.72%5.07fair odd
EV +0.552%
Edge +0.108%
Kelly +0.135%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.34%19.70%19.94%20.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.204.774.835.1024%21%21%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.29%EV -8.72%E -6.27%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.09%EV +5.96%E +0.822%K +0.953%G +0.057% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV +0.552%E +0.108%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -8.06%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +2.30%E +0.329%K +0.384%G +0.009% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.42%E -0.284%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -8.06%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +2.30%E +0.329%K +0.384%G +0.009% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.42%E -0.284%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -8.06%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +2.30%E +0.329%K +0.384%G +0.009% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.42%E -0.284%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -10.03%E -7.32%K -27.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +2.30%E +0.329%K +0.384%G +0.009% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV +0.552%E +0.108%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +2.30%E +0.329%K +0.384%G +0.009% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.42%E -0.284%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +2.30%E +0.329%K +0.384%G +0.009% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -6.35%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.30%EV -8.06%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.86%EV -0.620%E -0.091%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -1.42%E -0.284%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -5.00%E -0.770%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.28%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -6.47%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -7.33%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-14 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -6.75%E -4.75%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -10.85%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.20%EV -10.29%E -2.26%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-14 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.83%EV -8.06%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -12.31%E -2.05%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -3.39%E -0.692%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -6.75%E -4.75%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -12.31%E -2.05%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -11.28%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -9.38%E -6.79%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.31%EV -13.77%E -2.33%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -7.33%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.48%EV -10.69%E -7.86%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.12%EV -15.23%E -2.63%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -15.22%E -3.54%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.75%EV -9.38%E -6.79%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.30%EV -15.97%E -2.78%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -17.19%E -4.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-14 12:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.35% | 5.5% | 2026-07-14 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.35% | 5.5% | 2026-07-14 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 62.65% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.89% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46% | 16.5% | 2026-07-14 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 39.99% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 47.21% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 12.80% | 73.6% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |