Language:English
Real Madrid v Real Sociedad
Head to Head
Real Madrid (Local)
Prediction 67.14%1.49fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -4.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.80%67.15%67.26%68.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.401.401.4674.63%71.54%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Sociedad (Visit)
Prediction 13.69%7.30fair odd
EV +2.70%
Edge +0.360%
Kelly +0.415%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.88%13.71%13.63%14.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.106.846.807.5016.39%14.62%14.71%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.17%5.22fair odd
EV -0.340%
Edge -0.065%
Kelly -0.081%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.12%19.15%19.10%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.905.005.2022.22%20.40%20.00%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Madrid (Local): 67.14%; Real Sociedad (Visit): 13.69%; Draw: 19.17%. For Real Sociedad (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.30. 10 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.50, producing a positive expected value of +2.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.34%EV -1.97%E -1.35%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +2.70%E +0.360%K +0.415%G +0.011% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.55%EV -3.60%E -0.715%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-03 06:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.23%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.01%EV +2.70%E +0.360%K +0.415%G +0.011% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.76%EV -0.340%E -0.065%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-31 08:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.23%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.01%EV +2.70%E +0.360%K +0.415%G +0.011% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.76%EV -0.340%E -0.065%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-31 08:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.23%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.01%EV +2.70%E +0.360%K +0.415%G +0.011% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.76%EV -0.340%E -0.065%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-31 08:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.23%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.01%EV +2.70%E +0.360%K +0.415%G +0.011% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.76%EV -0.340%E -0.065%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-31 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.53%EV -5.33%E -3.78%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.88%EV +2.70%E +0.360%K +0.415%G +0.011% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.58%EV -0.340%E -0.065%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-30 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.53%EV -5.33%E -3.78%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.88%EV +2.70%E +0.360%K +0.415%G +0.011% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.58%EV -0.340%E -0.065%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-30 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.32%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%EV +1.33%E +0.179%K +0.207%G +0.003% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.58%EV -5.13%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 06:04 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.62%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.96%EV +1.33%E +0.179%K +0.207%G +0.003% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -9.92%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 15:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.62%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.96%EV +1.33%E +0.179%K +0.207%G +0.003% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -9.92%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 15:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -8.02%E -5.85%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.09%EV -1.41%E -0.196%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -0.340%E -0.065%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.67%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 7.02I 14.25%NM 13.50%EV -3.88%E -0.552%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.83%EV -3.60%E -0.715%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 17:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.15%E -0.593%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.80%EV -2.26%E -0.443%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 08:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -5.33%E -3.78%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.15%E -0.593%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 08:50 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -5.33%E -3.78%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.15%E -0.593%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 08:49 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -5.33%E -3.78%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.15%E -0.593%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 08:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -5.33%E -3.78%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.15%E -0.593%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 08:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -4.15%E -0.593%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.98%EV -6.67%E -4.80%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -4.15%E -0.593%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -2.26%E -0.443%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-24 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.02%E -5.85%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.15%E -0.593%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -2.26%E -0.443%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.99%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.99%EV -6.89%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.07%EV -5.33%E -3.78%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.57%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-14 21:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -7.57%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 19:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.46%EV -5.33%E -3.78%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -11.00%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -6.09%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-20 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.00%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-24 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.00%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.96%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.94%EV -7.34%E -5.32%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -11.00%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -6.09%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.00%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.00%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.34%E -5.32%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.00%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -8.96%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-31 08:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.34%E -5.32%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.00%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -8.96%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-31 08:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.34%E -5.32%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.00%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -8.96%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-31 08:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -11.00%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.96%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-24 23:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -11.00%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.76%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.31%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -12.37%E -1.93%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-31 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.46%EV -8.02%E -5.85%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -14.42%E -2.31%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -14.42%E -2.31%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-31 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -14.42%E -2.31%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-31 08:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.22%EV -7.34%E -5.32%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.74%EV -15.10%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.48%EV -10.03%E -7.49%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.37%EV -15.10%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.16%EV -10.88%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.02%EV -9.36%E -6.93%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -16.47%E -2.70%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.26% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 05:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.01% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |