Die Schule der Quoten

Real Madrid v Real Sociedad

2026-08-26 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Direkter Vergleich

30 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Real Madrid (Heim)

Prognose 66.17%1.51faire Quote
EV -2.73%
Vorteil -1.86%
Kelly -5.80%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.47

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
63.62%66.16%65.97%68.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.331.401.401.4775.19%71.23%71.43%68.03%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Real Sociedad (Auswärts)

Prognose 14.39%6.95faire Quote
EV +7.93%
Vorteil +1.06%
Kelly +1.22%
Wachstum +0.097%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.07%14.47%14.37%15.96%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.506.516.507.5018.18%15.35%15.38%13.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 19.44%5.14faire Quote
EV +1.08%
Vorteil +0.207%
Kelly +0.257%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.12%19.38%19.66%20.42%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.304.844.895.2023.26%20.65%20.43%19.23%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (30 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 67.06%EV -2.73%E -1.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.14%EV +7.93%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.097%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.80%EV -3.20%E -0.642%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-25 22:55
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.18%EV -4.71%E -3.27%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.07%EV +6.49%E +0.877%K +1.01%G +0.066%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 22:50
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.68%EV -5.37%E -3.76%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.35%EV +4.33%E +0.597%K +0.693%G +0.030%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -0.866%E -0.170%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 15:39
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.68%EV -5.37%E -3.76%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.35%EV +4.33%E +0.597%K +0.693%G +0.030%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -0.866%E -0.170%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 20:49
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +0.731%E +0.104%K +0.122%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.81%E -0.562%K -0.702%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-14 11:29
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.98%EV -8.02%E -5.77%K -20.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV +0.731%E +0.104%K +0.122%G +0.001%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -0.866%E -0.170%K -0.211%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 23:00
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -9.34%E -6.82%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.731%E +0.104%K +0.122%G +0.001%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -0.866%E -0.170%K -0.211%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 11:29
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 67.07%EV -6.70%E -4.75%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.87%E -0.425%K -0.498%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -2.81%E -0.562%K -0.702%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-14 21:04
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -2.87%E -0.425%K -0.498%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.81%E -0.562%K -0.702%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 22:59
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 66.88%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.97%EV -3.59%E -0.535%K -0.629%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.15%EV -4.95%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.71%E -3.27%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -6.46%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-16 08:15
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.71%E -3.27%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -6.46%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-16 08:15
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.71%E -3.27%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -6.46%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-16 08:15
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -6.46%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.257%G +0.003%6.0%2026-07-24 15:00
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 66.46%EV -6.70%E -4.75%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -6.46%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 15:00
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -6.46%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.81%E -0.562%K -0.702%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.01%E -7.36%K -27.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -6.46%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -2.81%E -0.562%K -0.702%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 23:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -10.01%E -7.36%K -27.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.46%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 23:00
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -10.01%E -7.36%K -27.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.46%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 08:30
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.01%E -7.36%K -27.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -6.46%E -0.994%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-19 01:05
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.44%EV -4.71%E -3.27%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV -7.90%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 08:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.44%EV -4.71%E -3.27%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV -7.90%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 08:15
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.95%EV -3.39%E -2.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.29%EV -10.78%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 14:35
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.78%EV -11.99%E -9.02%K -36.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.34%EV -12.22%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.88%EV -14.47%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 09:05
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.48%EV -8.02%E -5.77%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -13.66%E -2.28%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -0.866%E -0.170%K -0.211%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 00:50
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -6.04%E -4.25%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.66%E -2.28%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.97%EV -9.34%E -6.82%K -25.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.58%EV -16.54%E -2.85%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 00:50
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.00%EV -6.04%E -4.25%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -17.26%E -3.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 14:35
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.61%EV -10.01%E -7.36%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.42%EV -17.98%E -3.15%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -14.47%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-24 14:35
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.62%EV -8.68%E -6.29%K -22.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -20.85%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -16.42%E -3.82%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-24 14:34
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.31%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.17%4.3%2026-07-26 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.31%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.17%4.3%2026-07-26 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.31%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.17%4.3%2026-07-26 03:09
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 62.59%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.92%16.6%2026-07-24 14:35