Language:English
Real Betis v Espanyol
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Betis (Local)
Prediction 55.09%1.82fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.739%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.83%55.06%54.90%57.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.671.8463.69%59.95%59.88%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Espanyol (Visit)
Prediction 20.94%4.78fair odd
EV +8.86%
Edge +1.70%
Kelly +2.11%
Growth +0.187%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.64%21.08%21.00%24.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.824.644.705.2026.18%21.54%21.28%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.98%4.17fair odd
EV +7.90%
Edge +1.76%
Kelly +2.26%
Growth +0.178%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.41%23.86%24.10%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.903.884.5031.25%25.66%25.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Betis (Local): 55.09%; Espanyol (Visit): 20.94%; Draw: 23.98%. For Espanyol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.78. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -9.66%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -9.66%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -9.66%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.33%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 20.03%EV +3.00%E +0.610%K +0.765%G +0.023% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.64%EV -0.012%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -11.86%E -7.41%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +2.58%E +0.527%K +0.662%G +0.017% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.68%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.36%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.99%EV +1.54%E +0.317%K +0.399%G +0.006% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +0.488%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -13.51%E -8.61%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV +0.488%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -13.51%E -8.61%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV +0.488%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -0.558%E -0.118%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 16:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -0.558%E -0.118%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -0.558%E -0.118%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -1.61%E -0.342%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -0.491%E -0.118%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -1.61%E -0.342%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -0.491%E -0.118%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -3.70%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 16:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.29%EV -9.11%E -5.52%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.05%EV -4.75%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 20:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -6.90%E -4.08%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 20:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-19 12:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.17%EV -11.86%E -7.41%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -16.08%E -4.59%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV +1.36%E +0.739%K +1.62%G +0.022% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-19 21:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.61%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -7.68%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-23 01:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -9.35%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -10.76%E -6.64%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -9.35%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -23.27%E -7.27%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-22 22:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.98%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV +0.707%E +0.168%K +0.221%G +0.002% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 15:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.20%EV -12.41%E -7.81%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -9.98%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.38%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-20 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.57%EV -10.61%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%EV +7.90%E +1.76%K +2.26%G +0.178% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 21:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.57%EV -10.61%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%EV +7.90%E +1.76%K +2.26%G +0.178% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 21:51 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -10.76%E -6.64%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.22%EV -11.03%E -2.59%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-22 20:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.53%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV +5.50%E +1.25%K +1.62%G +0.089% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.04%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -14.17%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-19 16:06 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.18%EV -12.96%E -8.20%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.26%EV -14.17%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.56%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-23 04:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.33%EV -12.96%E -8.20%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 21.89%EV -19.40%E -5.04%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.78%EV -18.47%E -5.43%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-03-20 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -2.50%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV -20.03%E -5.24%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.52%EV +5.74%E +1.30%K +1.68%G +0.097% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 15:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 02:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 36.90% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 46.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 17.05% | 58.5% | 2026-03-23 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 33.40% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 51.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 14.78% | 80.4% | 2026-03-23 06:15 |