مدرسة الاحتمالات

Real Betis v Espanyol

البداية: 2026-04-05 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

44 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Real Betis (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.09%1.82السعر العادل
EV +1.36%
الأفضلية +0.739%
Kelly +1.62%
النمو +0.022%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.83%55.06%54.90%57.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.671.671.8463.69%59.95%59.88%54.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Espanyol (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.94%4.78السعر العادل
EV +8.86%
الأفضلية +1.70%
Kelly +2.11%
النمو +0.187%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.64%21.08%21.00%24.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.824.644.705.2026.18%21.54%21.28%19.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.98%4.17السعر العادل
EV +7.90%
الأفضلية +1.76%
Kelly +2.26%
النمو +0.178%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.41%23.86%24.10%26.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.903.884.5031.25%25.66%25.81%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-19 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-19 18:20
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-19 18:19
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-19 18:20
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 18:19
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 18:19
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 18:19
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 18:20
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -9.66%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 18:19
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -9.66%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -9.66%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 18:19
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 18:19
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 56.33%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 20.03%EV +3.00%E +0.610%K +0.765%G +0.023%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.64%EV -0.012%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.4%2026-03-22 20:50
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -11.86%E -7.41%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +2.58%E +0.527%K +0.662%G +0.017%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.68%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 18:19
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.36%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.99%EV +1.54%E +0.317%K +0.399%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 20:50
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +0.488%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:20
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -13.51%E -8.61%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV +0.488%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-19 18:19
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -13.51%E -8.61%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV +0.488%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-19 18:20
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -0.558%E -0.118%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 16:19
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -0.558%E -0.118%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -0.558%E -0.118%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 16:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -1.61%E -0.342%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -0.491%E -0.118%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:45
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -1.61%E -0.342%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -0.491%E -0.118%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:44
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -3.70%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:59
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.29%EV -9.11%E -5.52%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.05%EV -4.75%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 20:14
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 17:00
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -6.90%E -4.08%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 20:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-19 12:14
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.17%EV -11.86%E -7.41%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -16.08%E -4.59%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 16:20
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV +1.36%E +0.739%K +1.62%G +0.022%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 21:09
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.61%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -7.68%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-23 01:44
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -9.35%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -10.76%E -6.64%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -9.35%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -23.27%E -7.27%K -10.58%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-22 22:19
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.98%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV +0.707%E +0.168%K +0.221%G +0.002%5.9%2026-03-20 15:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.20%EV -12.41%E -7.81%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -9.98%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.38%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-20 17:05
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.57%EV -10.61%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%EV +7.90%E +1.76%K +2.26%G +0.178%3.8%2026-03-22 21:53
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.57%EV -10.61%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%EV +7.90%E +1.76%K +2.26%G +0.178%3.8%2026-03-22 21:51
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -10.76%E -6.64%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.22%EV -11.03%E -2.59%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 20:44
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.53%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV +5.50%E +1.25%K +1.62%G +0.089%5.3%2026-03-22 20:44
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.04%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -14.17%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-19 16:06
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.18%EV -12.96%E -8.20%K -22.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.26%EV -14.17%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.56%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-23 04:29
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.33%EV -12.96%E -8.20%K -22.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.89%EV -19.40%E -5.04%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.78%EV -18.47%E -5.43%K -7.70%G +0.000%18.7%2026-03-20 17:05
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -2.50%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV -20.03%E -5.24%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.52%EV +5.74%E +1.30%K +1.68%G +0.097%5.4%2026-03-20 15:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%6.5%2026-03-23 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%6.5%2026-03-23 02:44
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 36.90%1.37I 72.99%NM 46.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 17.05%58.5%2026-03-23 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 33.40%1.07I 93.46%NM 51.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 14.78%80.4%2026-03-23 06:15