L’École des cotes

Real Betis v Espanyol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Prévision 55.09%1.82cote équitable
EV +1.36%
Avantage +0.739%
Kelly +1.62%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.83%55.06%54.90%57.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.671.671.8463.69%59.95%59.88%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Espanyol (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.94%4.78cote équitable
EV +8.86%
Avantage +1.70%
Kelly +2.11%
Croissance +0.187%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.64%21.08%21.00%24.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.824.644.705.2026.18%21.54%21.28%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.98%4.17cote équitable
EV +7.90%
Avantage +1.76%
Kelly +2.26%
Croissance +0.178%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.41%23.86%24.10%26.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.903.884.5031.25%25.66%25.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-19 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-19 18:20
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-19 18:19
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-19 18:20
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 18:19
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 18:19
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 18:19
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 18:20
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -9.66%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 18:19
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -9.66%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -9.66%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 18:19
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 18:19
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 56.33%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 20.03%EV +3.00%E +0.610%K +0.765%G +0.023%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.64%EV -0.012%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.4%2026-03-22 20:50
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -11.86%E -7.41%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +2.58%E +0.527%K +0.662%G +0.017%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.68%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 18:19
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.36%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.99%EV +1.54%E +0.317%K +0.399%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 20:50
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +0.488%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:20
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -13.51%E -8.61%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV +0.488%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-19 18:19
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -13.51%E -8.61%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV +0.488%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-19 18:20
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -0.558%E -0.118%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 16:19
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -0.558%E -0.118%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -0.558%E -0.118%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 16:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -1.61%E -0.342%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -0.491%E -0.118%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:45
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -1.61%E -0.342%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -0.491%E -0.118%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:44
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -3.70%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:59
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.29%EV -9.11%E -5.52%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.05%EV -4.75%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 20:14
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 17:00
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -6.90%E -4.08%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 20:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-19 12:14
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.17%EV -11.86%E -7.41%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -16.08%E -4.59%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 16:20
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV +1.36%E +0.739%K +1.62%G +0.022%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 21:09
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.61%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -7.68%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-23 01:44
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -9.35%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -10.76%E -6.64%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -9.35%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -23.27%E -7.27%K -10.58%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-22 22:19
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.98%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV +0.707%E +0.168%K +0.221%G +0.002%5.9%2026-03-20 15:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.20%EV -12.41%E -7.81%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -9.98%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.38%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-20 17:05
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.57%EV -10.61%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%EV +7.90%E +1.76%K +2.26%G +0.178%3.8%2026-03-22 21:53
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.57%EV -10.61%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%EV +7.90%E +1.76%K +2.26%G +0.178%3.8%2026-03-22 21:51
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -10.76%E -6.64%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.22%EV -11.03%E -2.59%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 20:44
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.53%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV +5.50%E +1.25%K +1.62%G +0.089%5.3%2026-03-22 20:44
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.04%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -14.17%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-19 16:06
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.18%EV -12.96%E -8.20%K -22.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.26%EV -14.17%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.56%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-23 04:29
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.33%EV -12.96%E -8.20%K -22.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.89%EV -19.40%E -5.04%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.78%EV -18.47%E -5.43%K -7.70%G +0.000%18.7%2026-03-20 17:05
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -2.50%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV -20.03%E -5.24%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.52%EV +5.74%E +1.30%K +1.68%G +0.097%5.4%2026-03-20 15:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%6.5%2026-03-23 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%6.5%2026-03-23 02:44
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 36.90%1.37I 72.99%NM 46.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 17.05%58.5%2026-03-23 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 33.40%1.07I 93.46%NM 51.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 14.78%80.4%2026-03-23 06:15