La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Real Betis v Espanyol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Real Betis (Local)
Predicción 55.09%1.82momio equitativo
EV +1.36%
Ventaja +0.739%
Kelly +1.62%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.83%55.06%54.90%57.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.671.671.8463.69%59.95%59.88%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Espanyol (Visitante)
Predicción 20.94%4.78momio equitativo
EV +8.86%
Ventaja +1.70%
Kelly +2.11%
Crecimiento +0.187%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.64%21.08%21.00%24.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.824.644.705.2026.18%21.54%21.28%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.98%4.17momio equitativo
EV +7.90%
Ventaja +1.76%
Kelly +2.26%
Crecimiento +0.178%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.41%23.86%24.10%26.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.903.884.5031.25%25.66%25.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -8.56%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -9.66%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -9.66%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -9.66%E -5.89%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV +4.68%E +0.935%K +1.17%G +0.055% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.33%EV -3.60%E -2.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 20.03%EV +3.00%E +0.610%K +0.765%G +0.023% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.64%EV -0.012%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -11.86%E -7.41%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +2.58%E +0.527%K +0.662%G +0.017% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.68%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.36%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.99%EV +1.54%E +0.317%K +0.399%G +0.006% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.69%E -0.412%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +0.488%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -13.51%E -8.61%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV +0.488%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -13.51%E -8.61%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV +0.488%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -0.558%E -0.118%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 16:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -0.558%E -0.118%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -0.558%E -0.118%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -1.61%E -0.342%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -0.491%E -0.118%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -1.61%E -0.342%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -0.491%E -0.118%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:44 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -3.70%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 16:59 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.29%EV -9.11%E -5.52%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.05%EV -4.75%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-22 20:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 17:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -6.90%E -4.08%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 20:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-19 12:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.17%EV -11.86%E -7.41%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -16.08%E -4.59%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV +1.36%E +0.739%K +1.62%G +0.022% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.08%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-19 21:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.61%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -7.68%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-23 01:44 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -9.35%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.88%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -10.76%E -6.64%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -9.35%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -23.27%E -7.27%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-22 22:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -6.35%E -3.74%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.98%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV +0.707%E +0.168%K +0.221%G +0.002% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 15:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.20%EV -12.41%E -7.81%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -9.98%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.38%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-20 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.57%EV -10.61%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%EV +7.90%E +1.76%K +2.26%G +0.178% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 21:53 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.05%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.57%EV -10.61%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%EV +7.90%E +1.76%K +2.26%G +0.178% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 21:51 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -10.76%E -6.64%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.22%EV -11.03%E -2.59%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-22 20:44 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.53%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV +5.50%E +1.25%K +1.62%G +0.089% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.04%EV -10.21%E -6.26%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -14.17%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-19 16:06 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.18%EV -12.96%E -8.20%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.26%EV -14.17%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.56%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-23 04:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.33%EV -12.96%E -8.20%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 21.89%EV -19.40%E -5.04%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.78%EV -18.47%E -5.43%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-03-20 17:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -2.50%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV -20.03%E -5.24%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.52%EV +5.74%E +1.30%K +1.68%G +0.097% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 15:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47% | 6.5% | 2026-03-23 02:44 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 36.90% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 46.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 17.05% | 58.5% | 2026-03-23 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 33.40% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 51.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 14.78% | 80.4% | 2026-03-23 06:15 |