Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Betis v Espanyol

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Betis (Local)

Prediction 53.22%1.88fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.832%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.82%53.42%53.17%55.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.751.8559.88%56.91%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Espanyol (Visit)

Prediction 21.52%4.65fair odd
EV +7.60%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +0.144%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.40%21.43%21.56%23.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.464.405.0025.00%22.40%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.26%3.96fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.257%
Kelly +0.343%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.57%25.15%25.28%27.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.733.734.0032.26%26.83%26.85%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Betis (Local): 53.22%; Espanyol (Visit): 21.52%; Draw: 25.26%. For Espanyol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.65. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV +7.60%E +1.52%K +1.90%G +0.144%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 16:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.64%EV -4.73%E -2.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%EV +5.45%E +1.11%K +1.40%G +0.076%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-04 16:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +5.45%E +1.11%K +1.40%G +0.076%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +5.45%E +1.11%K +1.40%G +0.076%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.91%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 16:19
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:14
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:14
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:14
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.079%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.079%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 16:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:15
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.16%EV -11.12%E -6.66%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +1.15%E +0.244%K +0.310%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 16:14
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.17%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV -1.01%E -0.219%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.67%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.01%E -0.219%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:15
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV +1.03%E +0.257%K +0.343%G +0.004%6.0%2026-04-04 10:15
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 16:14
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 15:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -10.59%E -6.30%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -10.59%E -6.30%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:15
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.34%EV -4.23%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 15:24
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -4.23%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.079%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 16:14
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.53%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.37%EV -1.54%E -0.832%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%EV -6.39%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -3.52%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:10
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 16:19
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:20
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.95%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.64%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.41%EV +0.271%E +0.068%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.53%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.74%EV -10.05%E -5.95%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 16:09
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 16:20
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 16:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 16:09
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -1.54%E -0.832%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -10.69%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:09
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -3.14%E -1.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.37%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 16:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.12%E -6.66%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -21.70%E -7.00%K -10.33%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-04 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-04-04 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-04-04 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-04-04 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-04 16:20
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-04-04 16:20
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.22%1.7%2026-04-04 16:20