La escuela de los momios

Real Betis v Espanyol

Inicio: 2026-04-04 16:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Predicción 53.22%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.832%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.82%53.42%53.17%55.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.751.8559.88%56.91%57.14%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Espanyol (Visitante)

Predicción 21.52%4.65momio equitativo
EV +7.60%
Ventaja +1.52%
Kelly +1.90%
Crecimiento +0.144%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.40%21.43%21.56%23.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.464.405.0025.00%22.40%22.73%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.26%3.96momio equitativo
EV +1.03%
Ventaja +0.257%
Kelly +0.343%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.57%25.15%25.28%27.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.733.734.0032.26%26.83%26.85%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV +7.60%E +1.52%K +1.90%G +0.144%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 16:14
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.64%EV -4.73%E -2.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%EV +5.45%E +1.11%K +1.40%G +0.076%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-04 16:14
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +5.45%E +1.11%K +1.40%G +0.076%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:14
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +5.45%E +1.11%K +1.40%G +0.076%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:15
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.91%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 16:19
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:14
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:14
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:15
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:15
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:14
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:15
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.079%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 15:25
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.079%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 15:25
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 16:14
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:15
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.16%EV -11.12%E -6.66%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +1.15%E +0.244%K +0.310%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 16:14
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.17%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV -1.01%E -0.219%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.67%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 16:15
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.01%E -0.219%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:20
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:15
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV +1.03%E +0.257%K +0.343%G +0.004%6.0%2026-04-04 10:15
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 16:14
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 15:24
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -10.59%E -6.30%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:15
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -10.59%E -6.30%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:15
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.34%EV -4.23%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 15:24
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -4.23%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.079%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:50
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 16:14
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.53%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:14
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:14
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.37%EV -1.54%E -0.832%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%EV -6.39%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -3.52%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:20
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:10
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 16:19
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:20
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.95%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.64%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.41%EV +0.271%E +0.068%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.53%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 16:14
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.74%EV -10.05%E -5.95%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 16:09
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 16:20
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 16:09
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 16:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 16:09
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -1.54%E -0.832%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -10.69%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:09
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -3.14%E -1.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.37%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 16:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.12%E -6.66%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -21.70%E -7.00%K -10.33%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-04 16:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-04-04 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-04-04 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-04-04 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-04 16:20
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-04-04 16:20
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.22%1.7%2026-04-04 16:20