A Escola das Odds

Real Betis v Espanyol

Início: 2026-04-04 16:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Previsão 53.22%1.88odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -0.832%
Kelly -1.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.82%53.42%53.17%55.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.761.751.8559.88%56.91%57.14%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Espanyol (Visitante)

Previsão 21.52%4.65odd justa
EV +7.60%
Vantagem +1.52%
Kelly +1.90%
Crescimento +0.144%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.40%21.43%21.56%23.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.464.405.0025.00%22.40%22.73%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.26%3.96odd justa
EV +1.03%
Vantagem +0.257%
Kelly +0.343%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.57%25.15%25.28%27.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.733.734.0032.26%26.83%26.85%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV +7.60%E +1.52%K +1.90%G +0.144%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 16:14
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.64%EV -4.73%E -2.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%EV +5.45%E +1.11%K +1.40%G +0.076%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-04 16:14
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +5.45%E +1.11%K +1.40%G +0.076%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:14
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +5.45%E +1.11%K +1.40%G +0.076%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:15
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.91%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 16:19
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:14
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:14
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:15
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:15
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:14
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:15
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.079%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 15:25
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.079%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 15:25
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 16:14
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:15
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.16%EV -11.12%E -6.66%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +1.15%E +0.244%K +0.310%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 16:14
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.17%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV -1.01%E -0.219%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.67%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 16:15
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.01%E -0.219%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:20
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:15
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV +1.03%E +0.257%K +0.343%G +0.004%6.0%2026-04-04 10:15
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 16:14
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 15:24
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -10.59%E -6.30%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:15
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -10.59%E -6.30%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:15
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.34%EV -4.23%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 15:24
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -4.23%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.079%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:50
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 16:14
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.53%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:14
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:14
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.37%EV -1.54%E -0.832%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%EV -6.39%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -3.52%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:20
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:10
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 16:19
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:20
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.95%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.64%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.41%EV +0.271%E +0.068%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.53%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 16:14
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.74%EV -10.05%E -5.95%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 16:09
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 16:20
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 16:09
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 16:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 16:09
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -1.54%E -0.832%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -10.69%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:09
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -3.14%E -1.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.37%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 16:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.12%E -6.66%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -21.70%E -7.00%K -10.33%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-04 16:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-04-04 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-04-04 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-04-04 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-04 16:20
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-04-04 16:20
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.22%1.7%2026-04-04 16:20