L’École des cotes

Real Betis v Espanyol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Prévision 53.22%1.88cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.832%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.82%53.42%53.17%55.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.761.751.8559.88%56.91%57.14%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Espanyol (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.52%4.65cote équitable
EV +7.60%
Avantage +1.52%
Kelly +1.90%
Croissance +0.144%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.40%21.43%21.56%23.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.464.405.0025.00%22.40%22.73%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.26%3.96cote équitable
EV +1.03%
Avantage +0.257%
Kelly +0.343%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.57%25.15%25.28%27.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.733.734.0032.26%26.83%26.85%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV +7.60%E +1.52%K +1.90%G +0.144%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 16:14
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.64%EV -4.73%E -2.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%EV +5.45%E +1.11%K +1.40%G +0.076%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-04 16:14
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +5.45%E +1.11%K +1.40%G +0.076%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:14
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +5.45%E +1.11%K +1.40%G +0.076%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:15
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.91%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 16:19
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:14
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:14
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:15
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:15
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:14
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +3.30%E +0.687%K +0.868%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:15
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.079%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 15:25
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.079%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 15:25
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 16:14
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +2.22%E +0.468%K +0.593%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:15
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.16%EV -11.12%E -6.66%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +1.15%E +0.244%K +0.310%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 16:14
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.17%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV -1.01%E -0.219%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.67%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 16:15
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.01%E -0.219%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:20
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:15
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV +1.03%E +0.257%K +0.343%G +0.004%6.0%2026-04-04 10:15
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 16:14
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 15:24
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -10.59%E -6.30%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:15
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -10.59%E -6.30%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -3.16%E -0.702%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:15
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.34%EV -4.23%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 15:24
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -4.23%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -0.234%E -0.059%K -0.079%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:50
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 16:14
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.53%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 16:09
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:14
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:14
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.37%EV -1.54%E -0.832%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%EV -6.39%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -3.52%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:20
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:10
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 16:19
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.46%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:20
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.95%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.64%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.41%EV +0.271%E +0.068%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.53%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 16:14
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.74%EV -10.05%E -5.95%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 16:09
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -5.80%E -3.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 16:20
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 16:09
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 16:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.61%E -2.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 16:09
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -1.54%E -0.832%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -10.69%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:20
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:09
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -3.14%E -1.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.37%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 16:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.12%E -6.66%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -21.70%E -7.00%K -10.33%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-04 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-04-04 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-04-04 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-04-04 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-04 16:20
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-04-04 16:20
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.22%1.7%2026-04-04 16:20