Школа коэффициентов

Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal

Начало: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Итог: Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (Хозяева)

Прогноз 43.55%2.30справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.713%
Преимущество -0.313%
Kelly -0.557%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.28

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.67%43.49%43.64%44.71%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.072.172.172.2848.31%46.04%45.98%43.86%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Villarreal (Гости)

Прогноз 29.75%3.36справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.23%
Преимущество +0.931%
Kelly +1.31%
Рост +0.042%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.47

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.35%29.79%29.68%31.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.133.153.4734.48%31.94%31.75%28.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.70%3.74справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.20%
Преимущество -0.324%
Kelly -0.444%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.54%26.73%26.68%29.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.513.503.7033.33%28.51%28.57%27.03%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.71%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.35%EV +3.23%E +0.931%K +1.31%G +0.042%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.70%EV -5.50%E -2.54%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.36%EV +1.74%E +0.510%K +0.721%G +0.013%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.17%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.27%EV -1.23%E -0.371%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.55%EV -2.27%E -0.619%K -0.852%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.84%EV -3.33%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -1.83%E -0.553%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 43.99%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.713%E -0.313%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -3.91%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.713%E -0.313%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -3.91%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.72%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV -3.91%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.50%EV -3.07%E -0.845%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:31
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:15
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:16
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 08:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:15
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:56
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.12%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.12%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.12%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.12%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -2.02%E -0.897%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.62%EV -8.14%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 09:45
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.13%EV -9.86%E -4.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.20%E -0.324%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:15
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:56
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:39
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:39
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 08:20
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -19.89%E -6.63%K -9.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -6.81%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -7.68%E -3.62%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -7.68%E -3.62%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -7.68%E -3.62%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 10:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:45
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-17 07:50