La scuola delle quote

Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal

Inizio: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Finale: Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (Casa)

Previsione 43.55%2.30quota equa
EV -0.713%
Vantaggio -0.313%
Kelly -0.557%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.67%43.49%43.64%44.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.072.172.172.2848.31%46.04%45.98%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Villarreal (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.75%3.36quota equa
EV +3.23%
Vantaggio +0.931%
Kelly +1.31%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.35%29.79%29.68%31.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.133.153.4734.48%31.94%31.75%28.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.70%3.74quota equa
EV -1.20%
Vantaggio -0.324%
Kelly -0.444%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.54%26.73%26.68%29.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.513.503.7033.33%28.51%28.57%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.71%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.35%EV +3.23%E +0.931%K +1.31%G +0.042%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.70%EV -5.50%E -2.54%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.36%EV +1.74%E +0.510%K +0.721%G +0.013%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.17%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.27%EV -1.23%E -0.371%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.55%EV -2.27%E -0.619%K -0.852%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.84%EV -3.33%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -1.83%E -0.553%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 43.99%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.713%E -0.313%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -3.91%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.713%E -0.313%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -3.91%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.72%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV -3.91%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.50%EV -3.07%E -0.845%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:31
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:15
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:16
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 08:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:15
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:56
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.12%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.12%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.12%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.12%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -2.02%E -0.897%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.62%EV -8.14%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 09:45
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.13%EV -9.86%E -4.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.20%E -0.324%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:15
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:56
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:39
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:39
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 08:20
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -19.89%E -6.63%K -9.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -6.81%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -7.68%E -3.62%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -7.68%E -3.62%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -7.68%E -3.62%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 10:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:45
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-17 07:50