مدرسة الاحتمالات

Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal

البداية: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.55%2.30السعر العادل
EV -0.713%
الأفضلية -0.313%
Kelly -0.557%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.67%43.49%43.64%44.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.072.172.172.2848.31%46.04%45.98%43.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Villarreal (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.75%3.36السعر العادل
EV +3.23%
الأفضلية +0.931%
Kelly +1.31%
النمو +0.042%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.47

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.35%29.79%29.68%31.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.133.153.4734.48%31.94%31.75%28.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.70%3.74السعر العادل
EV -1.20%
الأفضلية -0.324%
Kelly -0.444%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.54%26.73%26.68%29.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.513.503.7033.33%28.51%28.57%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.71%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.35%EV +3.23%E +0.931%K +1.31%G +0.042%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.70%EV -5.50%E -2.54%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.36%EV +1.74%E +0.510%K +0.721%G +0.013%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.17%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.27%EV -1.23%E -0.371%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.55%EV -2.27%E -0.619%K -0.852%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.84%EV -3.33%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -1.83%E -0.553%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 43.99%EV -5.94%E -2.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.713%E -0.313%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -3.91%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.713%E -0.313%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -3.91%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.72%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV -3.91%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.50%EV -3.07%E -0.845%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:31
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:15
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:16
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.07%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 08:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:15
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:56
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.12%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.12%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.12%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.12%EV -2.89%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -2.02%E -0.897%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.62%EV -8.14%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 09:45
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.13%EV -9.86%E -4.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.20%E -0.324%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:15
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:56
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -2.53%E -0.694%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:39
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:39
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.20%E -1.91%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 08:20
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -19.89%E -6.63%K -9.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -6.81%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -7.68%E -3.62%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -7.68%E -3.62%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -7.68%E -3.62%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 10:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:45
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 10:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-17 07:50