Школа коэффициентов

Rayo Vallecano v Real Sociedad

Начало: 2026-04-26 12:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (Хозяева)

Прогноз 35.64%2.81справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.925%
Преимущество -0.333%
Kelly -0.520%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.78

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
33.23%35.79%35.67%39.40%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.422.622.612.7841.32%38.14%38.31%35.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Real Sociedad (Гости)

Прогноз 35.42%2.82справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.04%
Преимущество +2.63%
Kelly +3.92%
Рост +0.315%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.05

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.26%35.32%35.43%36.91%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.662.673.0541.67%37.55%37.52%32.79%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.94%3.46справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.29%
Преимущество +0.369%
Kelly +0.516%
Рост +0.007%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.89%28.89%28.91%30.35%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.263.253.5034.72%30.68%30.77%28.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -13.76%E -5.68%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV +8.04%E +2.63%K +3.92%G +0.315%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:25
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -5.56%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -0.819%E -0.293%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -1.60%E -0.472%K -0.668%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 01:30
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -5.56%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -0.819%E -0.293%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -1.60%E -0.472%K -0.668%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 01:29
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -5.56%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -0.819%E -0.293%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -1.60%E -0.472%K -0.668%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 01:30
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -5.56%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -0.819%E -0.293%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -1.60%E -0.472%K -0.668%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 01:30
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 35.47%EV -0.925%E -0.333%K -0.520%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.35%EV -1.17%E -0.421%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.18%EV -2.18%E -0.646%K -0.917%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-24 01:40
Marathon Bet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.48%EV -2.71%E -0.992%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.35%EV -2.94%E -1.07%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.17%EV -3.92%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 01:30
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56%EV -3.06%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56%EV -3.65%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.05%E -0.911%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 22:55
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56%EV -3.06%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56%EV -3.65%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.05%E -0.911%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 22:55
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -3.78%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 03:05
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 36.07%EV -5.56%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.40%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.53%EV -3.05%E -0.911%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 23:24
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 01:30
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:39
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 01:29
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:39
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 01:30
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 01:30
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -6.63%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:40
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -6.63%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:39
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:39
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:30
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 35.81%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.78%EV -4.21%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:40
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 35.78%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.38%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 01:29
BetUS2.66I 37.59%NM 35.78%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.38%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 01:25
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -6.63%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.07%E -1.89%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.05%E -0.911%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:24
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.99%E -0.725%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:59
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.78%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:03
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.78%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 23:09
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.56%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:05
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -3.78%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 23:05
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.89%EV -6.52%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:04
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 22:40
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.78%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -6.84%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 23:04
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.84%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 22:39
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -1.99%E -0.725%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -7.20%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 23:04
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -3.78%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -7.20%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 23:03
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.63%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.20%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.63%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.20%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.56%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.60%E -0.472%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:04
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.63%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -1.60%E -0.472%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:49
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 22:55
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:05
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 23:24
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:04
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -11.62%E -4.68%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-24 01:29
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -11.62%E -4.68%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-24 01:30
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.82%EV -8.97%E -3.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 00:25
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV +1.29%E +0.369%K +0.516%G +0.007%6.2%2026-04-23 21:45
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -1.60%E -0.472%K -0.668%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:45
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -3.05%E -0.911%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:49
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:04
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 23:29
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.90%E -4.36%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.45%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 22:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.23%EV -6.27%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -14.99%E -6.24%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.35%EV -16.65%E -5.78%K -8.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 23:04
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-04-24 02:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-04-24 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-04-24 01:15
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-04-24 02:40
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.93%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-04-24 01:15